Packhorse Moulton Supports Racing Welfare Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

16:00

Packhorse Moulton Supports Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2024-06-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (3)	Completely Random Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry Charlton	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry Charlton	132	—	621-62	87	97	76	34d	—	—	-8	16.9	5/2 29%
Only had five starts; beaten a neck on the Rowley Mile last month; open to improvement
12 (8)	Trefor Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Charles Hills	J:Robert Havlin T:Charles Hills	127	—	46-241	82	97	84	19d	—	—	-6	13.7	4/1 20%
Both wins have been gained on good to firm ground at Windsor; one for the shortlist
6 (7)	Eminency Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	137	t	40-962	85	99	86	13d	—	—	0	12.1	13/2 13%
Beaten a nose at Goodwood 13 days ago; not dismissed if taking another step forward
7 (4)	Abate Brown J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	136	—	2-6752	84	97	75	17d	—	—	+5	14.7	8/1 11%
Won this race two years ago; runner-up in latest start and should run a big race
4 (13)	Many A Star Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	140	t	112522	88	98	87	5d	—	—	+15	24	17/2 11%
Won twice on AW in April and second in three of his four starts on turf since; in the mix
11 (10)	Goal Exceeded Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Jack Mitchell T:John S O'Donoghue	130	—	51-463	85	93	69	17d	—	—	+4	10.5	14/1 7%
Third in a premier handicap at the Curragh last time; unexposed but fast ground an unknown
5 (6)	Tiger Crusade Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	137	—	3-0465	85	97	52	22d	—	—	+5	13	14/1 7%
2lb below last winning mark, but needs everything to fall right and fast ground not ideal
2 (11)	Al Simmo Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Cieren Fallon T:Steph Hollinshead	142	—	/2026-	90	96	81	268d	—	—	+11	16.6	18/1 5%
Record over C&D reads 211 and is proven fresh; drying ground is in her favour
3 (12)	Rhythm N Hooves Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	142	b	-77515	90	97	72	13d	—	—	+14	18.1	25/1 4%
Successful in first-time blinkers at Doncaster last month, but didn't back it up next time
13 (1)	Dashing Dick Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:William Stone	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:William Stone	126	p	17854-	74	96	89	228d	—	—	+5	9	28/1 3%
Won over C&D off this mark last August, but may need the run after 228 days off
10 (9)	How Impressive Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	131	t	836044	79	97	56	10d	—	—	+6	8.6	50/1 2%
1lb below last winning mark, but there's a suspicion another furlong suits him ideally
9 (5)	Bulldog Drummond Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	131	—	61-146	86	92	31	154d	—	—	+7	9.7	40/1 2%
Makes stable debut back on turf after five months off having undergone wind surgery
NR (2)	Wallop Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hannon	144	—	2/1-00	92	93	57	49d	—	—	—	20	—
Lightly raced; comfortably held in two handicaps on the Rowley Mile since returning; risky

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Completely Random	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Trefor	10/3	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Eminency	11/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Abate	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	8/1
Many A Star	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Goal Exceeded	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Tiger Crusade	14/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	12/1
Al Simmo	18/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	18/1
Rhythm N Hooves	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Dashing Dick	25/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
How Impressive	50/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Bulldog Drummond	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Many A Star

OR: 9.5 Form: 12 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Wallop

OR: 10.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Rhythm N Hooves

18.1

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Completely Random

16.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Al Simmo

16.6

OR: 10 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Abate

14.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Trefor

13.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Tiger Crusade

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Eminency

12.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Goal Exceeded

10.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bulldog Drummond

9.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Dashing Dick

OR: 6 Form: 2 Odds: 1

28/1

How Impressive

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wallop	92	93	57
Al Simmo	90	96	81
Rhythm N Hooves	90	97	72
Many A Star	88	98	87
Completely Random	87	97	76
Bulldog Drummond	86	92	31
Eminency	85	99	86
Goal Exceeded	85	93	69
Tiger Crusade	85	97	52
Abate	84	97	75
Trefor	82	97	84
How Impressive	79	97	56
Dashing Dick	74	96	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Many A Star	5d ago	Quick return
How Impressive	10d ago	Quick return
Eminency	13d ago	Quick return
Rhythm N Hooves	13d ago	Quick return
Abate	17d ago	Fit
Goal Exceeded	17d ago	Fit
Trefor	19d ago	Fit
Tiger Crusade	22d ago	Fit
Completely Random	34d ago	Fit
Wallop	49d ago	Fresh
Bulldog Drummond	154d ago	Long break
Dashing Dick	228d ago	Long break
Al Simmo	268d ago	Long break