JenningsBet In Pelton Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:50

JenningsBet In Pelton Handicap

Date 2024-06-27

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Bulmer Bank Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	135	h	47-433	65	78	46	13d	—	—	-13	11	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Drops in grade after two creditable third in 0-80 turf handicaps; good chance
9 (3)	Titainium Grey J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	130	—	7452	60	81	-	6d	—	—	-11	15.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close on recent handicap debut and is 4lb well in for this AW debut; high on the list
6 (11)	Berry Clever Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	133	—	-62532	63	76	57	16d	—	—	-1	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beginning to look exposed but recent efforts suggest he won't be far away
2 (10)	Mulciber Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	135	t	618-12	65	73	54	109d	—	—	-5	7.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second to progressive rival at Southwell in March; player if in same form for new stable
4 (12)	Cuban Fiesta Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	134	p	46-309	64	75	61	19d	—	—	-1	5.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed on seasonal/handicap debut but two disappointing turf runs have followed
1 (8)	Duke Wellington Chestnut J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	135	b	33488	65	75	47	33d	—	—	+2	6.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Disappointing in two turf handicaps but may yet deliver on earlier Tapeta promise
7 (7)	Angel Of The Bay Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	133	—	-55926	63	72	42	22d	—	—	+4	7.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Disappointed when upped to 1m this month but was second over 7f on handicap debut in May
11 (1)	Lady Phoebe br/gr J:Daniel Tudhope T:Adam Nicol	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Adam Nicol	127	—	657-	57	70	44	201d	—	—	-1	2.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Makes handicap debut after a layoff but displayed promise over C&D as a 2yo
13 (13)	Loubiere Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Connor Beasley T:Rebecca Menzies	122	—	33-287	52	73	27	64d	—	—	-2	1.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Good second here (1m) on seasonal debut but has disappointed twice since
5 (6)	Last Applause Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	134	p	6-8628	64	72	26	13d	—	—	+1	4.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yet to build upon her 7f 2yo win and has basically become disappointing
12 (2)	Pearl Sands Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	124	p	-34730	54	72	-	6d	—	—	+2	4.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed when dropped to 7f this month but spoiled chance by persistently hanging on Friday
8 (4)	Locomotive Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Mark Walford	J:Cam Hardie T:Mark Walford	131	—	6-799	61	73	57	16d	—	—	+1	3.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Unexposed after only four runs but did not land a significant blow on handicap debut
10 (5)	Strike Rate Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	128	—	8-369	58	68	-	10d	—	—	+1	2.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well beaten after refusing to settle on recent handicap debut and remains a risky option

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bulmer Bank	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Titainium	5/2	5/2	5/2	4/1	5/2
Berry Clever	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Mulciber	11/2	6/1	13/2	5/1	13/2
Cuban Fiesta	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Duke Wellington	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Angel Of The Bay	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Lady Phoebe	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Loubiere	28/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Last Applause	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Pearl Sands	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Locomotive	50/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Strike Rate	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Berry Clever

17.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5.4

9/2

2nd

Titainium

15.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8

4/1

3rd

Bulmer Bank

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Angel Of The Bay

7.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Mulciber

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Duke Wellington

6.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Cuban Fiesta

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Last Applause

4.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Pearl Sands

4.2

OR: 1 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Locomotive

3.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lady Phoebe

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Strike Rate

2.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Loubiere

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bulmer Bank	65	78	46
Mulciber	65	73	54
Duke Wellington	65	75	47
Cuban Fiesta	64	75	61
Last Applause	64	72	26
Berry Clever	63	76	57
Angel Of The Bay	63	72	42
Locomotive	61	73	57
Titainium	60	81	—
Strike Rate	58	68	—
Lady Phoebe	57	70	44
Pearl Sands	54	72	—
Loubiere	52	73	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Titainium	6d ago	Quick return
Pearl Sands	6d ago	Quick return
Strike Rate	10d ago	Quick return
Bulmer Bank	13d ago	Quick return
Last Applause	13d ago	Quick return
Berry Clever	16d ago	Fit
Locomotive	16d ago	Fit
Cuban Fiesta	19d ago	Fit
Angel Of The Bay	22d ago	Fit
Duke Wellington	33d ago	Fit
Loubiere	64d ago	Fresh
Mulciber	109d ago	Long break
Lady Phoebe	201d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.