Long Shot Refreshment Banker Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

17:50

Long Shot Refreshment Banker Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,381

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Post Rider Chestnut J:William Buick T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:William Buick T:Paul & Oliver Cole	131	—	2-4611	70	74	67	15d	—	—	-20	22.7	0.23/1	10/11 52%
2-2 since switched to turf, winning 1m events; bred to stay this longer trip; respected
3 (2)	Orchard Keeper Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	132	—	722	71	68	-	120d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Open to progress now handicapping and upped in distance; interesting
2 (5)	Aim For The Moon Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	141	t	-38515	68	73	64	37d	—	—	0	17.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
7yo who has low mileage; won at Yarmouth in April; unplaced favourite there since
1 (3)	Pink Lily Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	142	—	283311	69	72	61	21d	—	—	+16	27.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Scored at Bath and Goodwood the last twice; better than ever and has to be feared
5 (1)	Sparkling Belle Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	125	—	546	64	65	-	22d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pedigree suggests she's not guaranteed to improve for this switch to turf

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Post Rider	evn	10/11	10/11	10/11	evn
Orchard Keeper	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Aim For The Moon	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Pink Lily	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Sparkling Belle	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pink Lily

27.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 19.4 Odds: 3.1

17/2

2nd

Post Rider

22.7

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 14.2

10/11

3rd

Orchard Keeper

18.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Aim For The Moon

17.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 5

9/2

Sparkling Belle

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Orchard Keeper	71	68	—
Post Rider	70	74	67
Pink Lily	69	72	61
Aim For The Moon	68	73	64
Sparkling Belle	64	65	—

Last Run