Jenningsbet In North Shields Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:20

Jenningsbet In North Shields Handicap

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (13)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	132	p	371949	52	69	57	15d	—	—	-13	10.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Forgettable turf run last time but he does have a far superior strike-rate on the AW
2 (12)	Warminster Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	137	—	555136	57	70	55	18d	—	—	-3	13.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Running well on grass until last time and he's effective here; needs considering
6 (11)	Badosa Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Patrick Morris	J:Billy Loughnane T:Patrick Morris	130	—	-11467	57	67	55	34d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Dual AW winner but last three efforts make her opposable right now
4 (9)	Global Humor Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	b	725456	52	67	51	16d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Will no doubt pop up again at some point but slow starts are holding him back
5 (8)	Dandy Spirit Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	132	b	-98449	52	67	-	21d	—	—	-8	3.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Dual AW winner who went back-to-back on turf last spring; hasn't been running badly
13 (5)	Port And Starburd Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Craig Lidster	J:Connor Beasley T:Craig Lidster	122	—	-66630	49	64	15	10d	—	—	-3	4.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Penultimate effort offers hope but poor last time and questionable whether she wants 6f
9 (6)	Notion In Motion Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	—	666347	54	66	37	39d	—	—	-1	3.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Sole placing for the Quinns did at least come over C&D and he's still lightly raced
8 (14)	Bingley Crocker Bay J:James Sullivan T:Patrick Morris	J:James Sullivan T:Patrick Morris	128	h	-74056	48	52	40	67d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Still a maiden and doesn't appear to be going anywhere at present; now hooded
11 (4)	Maveric's Magic Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	125	—	898-90	52	62	22	7d	—	—	-2	1.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hasn't beaten many horses in his career, including in handicaps at 5f and 7f; opposable
12 (1)	Alibi Warning Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	124	—	040-57	51	68	41	11d	—	—	-2	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best form, and by some way, was her close fourth in a 6f Southwell handicap in December
14 (3)	Evoluir Bay J:Luke Morris T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Luke Morris T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	119	—	6590-	46	51	-	352d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has very poor form claims and is out of the weights; has been gelded
10 (7)	Independent Beauty Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Lisa Williamson	126	—	879469	46	65	48	35d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
35-race maiden who offered nothing back in a handicap at Bath last month
NR (2)	Sidney's Son Bay J:TBC T:Nigel Tinkler	J: T:Nigel Tinkler	138	—	7-0780	58	71	26	18d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Novice winner last August but has little to show for subsequent efforts in handicaps
NR (10)	Gidwa Bay J:TBC T:Brian Ellison	J: T:Brian Ellison	129	tp	150239	49	68	57	4d	—	—	—	4.6	—	—
Getting away from grass should be a good thing; went close at Wolverhampton this month.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fircombe Hall	5/2	5/2	5/2	3/1	5/2
Warminster	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Badosa	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Global Humor	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2
Dandy Spirit	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Port And Starburd	11/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Notion In Motion	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Bingley Crocker	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Maveric's Magic	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Alibi Warning	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Evoluir	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Independent Beauty	50/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Warminster

13.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Fircombe Hall

10.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Badosa

10.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Global Humor

5.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Gidwa

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0

—

Port And Starburd

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Dandy Spirit

3.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Notion In Motion

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Sidney's Son

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Maveric's Magic

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Alibi Warning

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bingley Crocker

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Evoluir

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Independent Beauty

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sidney's Son	58	71	26
Warminster	57	70	55
Badosa	57	67	55
Notion In Motion	54	66	37
Fircombe Hall	52	69	57
Global Humor	52	67	51
Dandy Spirit	52	67	—
Maveric's Magic	52	62	22
Alibi Warning	51	68	41
Port And Starburd	49	64	15
Gidwa	49	68	57
Bingley Crocker	48	52	40
Evoluir	46	51	—
Independent Beauty	46	65	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gidwa	4d ago	Quick return
Maveric's Magic	7d ago	Quick return
Port And Starburd	10d ago	Quick return
Alibi Warning	11d ago	Quick return
Fircombe Hall	15d ago	Fit
Global Humor	16d ago	Fit
Warminster	18d ago	Fit
Sidney's Son	18d ago	Fit
Dandy Spirit	21d ago	Fit
Badosa	34d ago	Fit
Independent Beauty	35d ago	Fit
Notion In Motion	39d ago	Fit
Bingley Crocker	67d ago	Fresh
Evoluir	352d ago	Long break