Newmarket (July)

17:15

Long Shot British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-06-28
Distance 6f
Class Class 4
Going Good To Firm
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 2yo
Prize £4,320

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
10 (5)
Scattering Light
Bay
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
128
-
-
-
-18
8
0.63/1
5/2
29%
Blue Point filly; trainer is 10-26 (38%) with 2yos this season; respected newcomer
2 (4)
Beronia
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:George Boughey
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:George Boughey
128 23
-
87
83
12d -5
11.2
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Placed in two 6f northern novices and another here yesterday; 7f can help
11 (10)
Valentia Island
Chestnut
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Charlie Appleby
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Charlie Appleby
128
-
-
-
-10
4
1.63/1
13/2
13%
£270,000 (breeze-up) 2yo; looks the stable second string but is still interesting
5 (3)
Mandurah
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
128
-
-
-
-10
4
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Filly by Kingman and the first foal of an unraced daughter of a French Group 1 winner
6 (6)
Miss Fascinator
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
128
-
-
-
-8
3.3
2.00/1
8/1
11%
72,000gns (breeze-up) 2yo; by Mehmas out of a well-related dam; market instructive
7 (8)
Nad Alshiba Rain
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Michael Appleby
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Michael Appleby
128 5
-
82
57
9d -6
2.4
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Clear promise, amid greenness, at Nottingham (close fifth) last week; enters calculations
1 (7)
Beautiful Things
Bay
J:David Egan
T:George Scott
J:David Egan
T:George Scott
128
-
-
-
-4
1.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
77,000gns (breeze-up) 2yo; Profitable half-sister to two winners; check the betting
4 (11)
Hourglass Of Light
Chestnut
J:Sean Levey
T:George Scott
J:Sean Levey
T:George Scott
128 h 68
-
76
59
23d -3
1.2
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Bare form suggests she'll be more interesting in nurseries shortly
3 (2)
Cressida Wildes
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Rob Hornby
T:Charlie Fellowes
128
-
-
-
-2
0.6
10.00/1
40/1
2%
28,000gns foal; suitably bred; yard is 1-12 with 2yos this season
9 (9)
Prada On Parole
Bay
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Amy Murphy
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Amy Murphy
128 h 7
-
66
57
12d -1
0.4
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Needs to improve a good deal on her Thirsk effort (behind Beronia)
8 (1)
Pathetic Fallacy
Bay
J:Shane Kelly
T:John Butler
J:Shane Kelly
T:John Butler
128 00
-
47
25
11d -1
0.2
62.50/1
250/1
0%
Always behind in a couple of 5f races
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Scattering Light
5/2 9/4 9/4 2/1 5/2
Beronia
9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2
Valentia Island
11/2 11/2 6/1 13/2 11/2
Mandurah
5/1 9/2 5/1 9/2 5/1
Miss Fascinator
7/1 8/1 6/1 7/1 15/2
Nad Alshiba Rain
9/1 9/1 17/2 9/1 9/1
Beautiful Things
16/1 12/1 14/1 16/1 16/1
Hourglass Of Light
20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 20/1
Cressida Wildes
40/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 40/1
Prada On Parole
80/1 80/1 66/1 80/1 66/1
Pathetic Fallacy
250/1 250/1 150/1 200/1 250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Beronia
11.2
OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.7
9/2
2nd Scattering Light
8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8
5/2
3rd Valentia Island
4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4
13/2
4 Mandurah
4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4
5/1
5 Miss Fascinator
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
8/1
6 Nad Alshiba Rain
2.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
9/1
7 Beautiful Things
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1
8 Hourglass Of Light
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22/1
9 Cressida Wildes
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40/1
10 Prada On Parole
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
80/1
11 Pathetic Fallacy
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
250/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Scattering Light
Beronia
87
83
Valentia Island
Mandurah
Miss Fascinator
Nad Alshiba Rain
82
57
Beautiful Things
Hourglass Of Light
76
59
Cressida Wildes
Prada On Parole
66
57
Pathetic Fallacy
47
25

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Nad Alshiba Rain 9d ago Quick return
Pathetic Fallacy 11d ago Quick return
Beronia 12d ago Quick return
Prada On Parole 12d ago Quick return
Hourglass Of Light 23d ago Fit
Scattering Light
Valentia Island
Mandurah
Miss Fascinator
Beautiful Things
Cressida Wildes