Kildare House Hotel Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Curragh

17:30

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €11,800

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (11)	Red Letter Grey J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Frankel filly; dam Listed-placed 6f AW 2yo winner; in-form yard get plenty of 2yo winners
7 (15)	Lake Victoria Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Frankel filly; closely related to winners Bluegrass and The Equator; well bred newcomer
5 (9)	Dahlia Noir Brown J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	128	—	2	-	92	46	42d	—	—	-7	10	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hit the crossbar in Leopardstown maiden over 7f; form starting to take shape
1 (13)	And So To Bed Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	4	-	90	83	33d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Encouraging debut over 6f last month when green; should improve over extra furlong
2 (12)	Bay Colony Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
New Bay filly; half-sister to winners You Send Me; 480,000eur yearling; check market
6 (3)	Exactly Chestnut J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Frankel filly; closely related to 1m winner Salt Lake City; yard's second-string
9 (14)	Marazion Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Chris Hayes T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Sea The Stars filly; quick ground will probably suit and yard can ready one for debut
10 (6)	Murkala Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Too Darn Hot filly; half-sister to French 1m4f/1m7f winner Mirzann; check market
14 (2)	Valencia Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Lope De Vega filly; cost 210,000euros as a yearling; may need further and second-string
13 (8)	Senna's Girl Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Arizona filly; cost 100,000euros as a breeze-up purchase; interesting pedigree
11 (7)	Mykonian Odyssey Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Brendan W Duke	J:Ronan Whelan T:Brendan W Duke	128	—	5	-	80	65	22d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Outran odds of 200-1 when 5th in maiden earlier this month; needs to break better
15 (1)	Vlhova Bay J:W J Lee T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:W J Lee T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Got going late when 3rd in barrier trial; will probably need further than this
8 (10)	Lovely Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Diego Dias	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Diego Dias	128	—	5	-	74	44	40d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Outpaced over 5f on debut at Naas; longer trip should help given her pedigree
3 (5)	Blondina Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Dawn Approach filly; dam 1m1f/1m2f winner; interesting newcomer; yard do well with 2yos
4 (4)	Cala Margarida Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	112.50/1	450/1 0%
Earthlight filly; half-sister to 2 winners; yard 2-72 with 2yos last 5 years

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Red Letter	2/1	9/4	9/4
Lake Victoria	11/4	5/2	3/1
Dahlia Noir	11/2	4/1	5/1
And So To Bed	13/2	15/2	6/1
Bay Colony	16/1	14/1	12/1
Exactly	16/1	12/1	12/1
Marazion	18/1	20/1	18/1
Murkala	20/1	20/1	20/1
Valencia	25/1	25/1	25/1
Senna's Girl	40/1	40/1	40/1
Mykonian Odyssey	40/1	33/1	33/1
Vlhova	100/1	66/1	50/1
Lovely	100/1	100/1	100/1
Blondina	100/1	66/1	80/1
Cala Margarida	300/1	450/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dahlia Noir

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

11/2

2nd

Red Letter

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Lake Victoria

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

And So To Bed

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Bay Colony

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Exactly

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Marazion

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Murkala

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Valencia

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Mykonian Odyssey

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Senna's Girl

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Vlhova

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Lovely

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Blondina

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Cala Margarida

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

450/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Letter	—	—	—
Lake Victoria	—	—	—
Dahlia Noir	—	92	46
And So To Bed	—	90	83
Bay Colony	—	—	—
Exactly	—	—	—
Marazion	—	—	—
Murkala	—	—	—
Valencia	—	—	—
Senna's Girl	—	—	—
Mykonian Odyssey	—	80	65
Vlhova	—	—	—
Lovely	—	74	44
Blondina	—	—	—
Cala Margarida	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mykonian Odyssey	22d ago	Fit
And So To Bed	33d ago	Fit
Lovely	40d ago	Fit
Dahlia Noir	42d ago	Fit
Red Letter	—	—
Lake Victoria	—	—
Bay Colony	—	—
Exactly	—	—
Marazion	—	—
Murkala	—	—
Valencia	—	—
Senna's Girl	—	—
Vlhova	—	—
Blondina	—	—
Cala Margarida	—	—