Neal Wood 15th Anniversary Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:55

Neal Wood 15th Anniversary Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Date 2024-06-30

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,688

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Atlantic Gamble Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	125	—	6-9711	66	81	65	17d	—	—	-20	15.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
6lb rise demands more but he's progressive and represents an in-form yard; leading claims
1 (8)	Rogue Soldier Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:James Owen	142	—	1-3537	72	77	46	28d	—	—	+3	16.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Had excuses in two runs back for his current yard this season; should fare better
9 (6)	Orbital Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	124	v	69-515	65	80	55	14d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Daughter of a course winner; goes in first-time headgear; ought to fare better again
3 (1)	Supaspecialawesome Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Hugo Palmer	134	—	0779-9	64	84	61	50d	—	—	-4	6.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Runs without headgear for the first time in a little over a year; not easy to fancy
7 (2)	Little Heron Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Bell	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Bell	127	—	4-6635	68	78	56	17d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Competitive since handicapping without appearing ahead of her mark; needs more
2 (10)	Equion Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	138	—	1953-5	68	77	4	28d	—	—	-1	6.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Comfortably held on turf four weeks ago back from a layoff; others make more appeal
5 (3)	Diffident Spirit Bay J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	130	—	/1202-	60	76	-	412d	—	—	+8	14.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Nothing to suggest he's as good on the AW but two of his wins came after breaks
6 (9)	Crimson Coronet Bay J:George Wood T:Charlie Fellowes	J:George Wood T:Charlie Fellowes	129	—	5-2178	70	74	34	23d	—	—	0	6.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two poor efforts on turf, back from wind surgery, leave her something to prove
4 (4)	Star Mind Bay J:George Rooke T:Jack Jones	J:George Rooke T:Jack Jones	132	p	13-160	73	73	41	115d	—	—	+3	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Drawn to attack, back from a break, but this longer trip is far from assured on pedigree
10 (7)	Cerulean Summer Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Dylan Cunha	J:Josephine Gordon T:Dylan Cunha	118	t	2-8850	59	77	67	28d	—	—	+4	6.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
A deal better off with Atlantic Gamble than at Kempton but she's still hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atlantic Gamble	11/8	11/8	5/4	5/4	11/8
Rogue Soldier	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2
Orbital	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Supaspecialawesome	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Little Heron	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Equion	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Diffident Spirit	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Crimson Coronet	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Star Mind	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Cerulean Summer	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Soldier

16.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Atlantic Gamble

15.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Diffident Spirit

14.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Orbital

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Little Heron

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Crimson Coronet

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Star Mind

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Supaspecialawesome

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Equion

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Cerulean Summer

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Mind	73	73	41
Rogue Soldier	72	77	46
Crimson Coronet	70	74	34
Little Heron	68	78	56
Equion	68	77	4
Atlantic Gamble	66	81	65
Orbital	65	80	55
Supaspecialawesome	64	84	61
Diffident Spirit	60	76	—
Cerulean Summer	59	77	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Orbital	14d ago	Fit
Atlantic Gamble	17d ago	Fit
Little Heron	17d ago	Fit
Crimson Coronet	23d ago	Fit
Rogue Soldier	28d ago	Fit
Equion	28d ago	Fit
Cerulean Summer	28d ago	Fit
Supaspecialawesome	50d ago	Fresh
Star Mind	115d ago	Long break
Diffident Spirit	412d ago	Long break