Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (Div I)

Tipperary

14:33

Date 2024-07-02

Distance 2m1f70y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Ernie From Nurney Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	161	t	05311-	94	112	95	74d	—	—	+10	37.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has won his last two races over hurdles, can exploit a 14lb lower mark in this sphere
13	May Call You Back Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	144	—	0PP-90	77	86	75	30d	—	—	-12	15.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Three-figure odds all eight races, low-level recruit to top yard, market will be revealing
4	Grand Cru Chatho Bay J:Philip Byrnes(3) T:Edward Cawley	J:Philip Byrnes(3) T:Edward Cawley	160	ht	57FF-5	93	-	-	21d	—	—	+1	14.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Should be ready for this after a recent hurdles run at Sligo, fell only chase start
6	Second Subaltern Bay J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	159	t	565-84	92	-	-	21d	—	—	+3	13.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed in three bumpers, modest form over hurdles placed once, lacks chasing experience
11	Likable Chancer Bay J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Daniel John Howard	J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Daniel John Howard	150	tb	5332-8	83	112	101	42d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In good form over hurdles before a less encouraging run last time, hard to win with
9	Lakomet Of Saints Bay J:Danny Mullins T:J P Flavin	J:Danny Mullins T:J P Flavin	153	t	0P4-67	86	109	70	32d	—	—	+5	10.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fair fourth to Prince Of Air at Tramore, below that standard in two subsequent starts
8	Prince Of Air Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	157	p	44481-	90	106	87	72d	—	—	+17	21.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Confirmed liking for the tight Tramore circuit with win in April, 7lb higher, place chance
12	Copper Coast Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Sarah Joanna Connell	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Sarah Joanna Connell	146	t	665-50	79	112	35	42d	—	—	+4	8.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
In rear over hurdles last time, needs to reverse Tramore chase form with Prince Of Air
7	Filon D'oudairies Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:J P Broderick	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:J P Broderick	157	p	008-UP	90	113	-	21d	—	—	+8	10.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Regressive over fences since Thurles win in late 2022, pulled up over hurdles on latest
1	Itsalonglongroad Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:Charles Coakley	J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:Charles Coakley	168	v	107-2U	101	105	92	17d	—	—	+11	13.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Unseated at fifth at Downpatrick, previous long-priced second at Tramore was encouraging
2	I Am Rocco Brown J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	162	p	6/57P-	95	105	45	284d	—	—	+10	11.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Failed to win for Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins, no joy in this yard last season
5	Lucky Policy Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul W Flynn	J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul W Flynn	159	t	43-700	92	109	49	16d	—	—	+9	11.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor run over hurdles last time, chase form is ordinary, tongue-tie for first time
10	Added Bonus Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	151	tp	010-78	84	105	-	25d	—	—	+7	9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Both chase wins were at Thurles with the last one coming in February, out of form since
14	Justakeg Bay J:Daniel King T:V T O'Brien	J:Daniel King T:V T O'Brien	140	—	8930-0	73	74	43	35d	—	—	+5	6.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Two moderate runs over hurdles since remote third in a 3m2f chase at Sligo last September

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ernie From Nurney	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
May Call You Back	9/4	9/4	15/8	9/4	9/4
Grand Cru Chatho	7/1	6/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Second Subaltern	8/1	15/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Likable Chancer	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Lakomet Of Saints	22/1	16/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Prince Of Air	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Copper Coast	22/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Filon D'oudairies	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Itsalonglongroad	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
I Am Rocco	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Lucky Policy	40/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Added Bonus	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Justakeg	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ernie From Nurney

37.9

OR: 11 Form: 18.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Prince Of Air

21.2

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

18/1

3rd

May Call You Back

15.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Grand Cru Chatho

14.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Second Subaltern

13.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Itsalonglongroad

13.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

I Am Rocco

11.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lucky Policy

11.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Filon D'oudairies

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Lakomet Of Saints

10.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Likable Chancer

10.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Added Bonus

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Copper Coast

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Justakeg

6.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Itsalonglongroad	101	105	92
I Am Rocco	95	105	45
Ernie From Nurney	94	112	95
Grand Cru Chatho	93	—	—
Second Subaltern	92	—	—
Lucky Policy	92	109	49
Prince Of Air	90	106	87
Filon D'oudairies	90	113	—
Lakomet Of Saints	86	109	70
Added Bonus	84	105	—
Likable Chancer	83	112	101
Copper Coast	79	112	35
May Call You Back	77	86	75
Justakeg	73	74	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lucky Policy	16d ago	Fit
Itsalonglongroad	17d ago	Fit
Grand Cru Chatho	21d ago	Fit
Second Subaltern	21d ago	Fit
Filon D'oudairies	21d ago	Fit
Added Bonus	25d ago	Fit
May Call You Back	30d ago	Fit
Lakomet Of Saints	32d ago	Fit
Justakeg	35d ago	Fit
Likable Chancer	42d ago	Fit
Copper Coast	42d ago	Fit
Prince Of Air	72d ago	Fresh
Ernie From Nurney	74d ago	Fresh
I Am Rocco	284d ago	Long break