TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap – Tipperary

Tipperary

8:20

TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap

Date 2024-07-03

Distance 1m4f120y

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (18)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (3)	Elsa's Pride gr J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	138	—	013-52	61	69	55	26d	—	—	-9	7.8	4/1 20%
Cork 1m4f winner last August, Fairyhouse second suggests another success in imminent
5 (7)	Struck By Churchil b J:Ben Coen T:Andrew Slattery	J:Ben Coen T:Andrew Slattery	133	—	988-	56	73	54	—	—	—	-9	5.5	11/2 15%
Last season's Flat form was modest, may have turned a corner judged on a good hurdles run
1 (15)	Black Soul b J:N G McCullagh T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:N G McCullagh T:John E & Thomas Kiely	142	—	8202-7	65	73	53	11d	—	—	-5	7.4	11/2 15%
Ended last year with a fine effort over C&D, should strip fitter after recent Limerick run
11 (9)	Bigz Belief b J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	126	t	30698-	49	72	64	—	—	—	-9	4.6	6/1 14%
Better known as a three-time hurdles winner, more than three years since sole Flat win
13 (16)	Ifitwasme b J:Chris Hayes T:E McNamara	J:Chris Hayes T:E McNamara	126	t	330-97	49	70	21	26d	—	—	-7	2.9	8/1 11%
Placed twice on good ground last year, last month's Fairyhouse run offers encouragement
14 (18)	Applejack Poet b J:Danny Sheehy T:Liz Doyle	J:Danny Sheehy T:Liz Doyle	124	—	08-08	47	71	-	30d	—	—	-5	1.9	11/1 8%
Handicap hurdle winner on good ground, weak form in Flat maidens, may find his level now
18 (12)	Crypto Crash b J:James Ryan(5) T:David Marnane	J:James Ryan(5) T:David Marnane	120	—	0906	55	61	38	13d	—	—	-4	3.4	11/1 8%
No show in maidens but showed a glimmer of promise at Leopardstown on handicap debut
9 (8)	Albion Princess b J:Seamie Heffernan T:Donal Kinsella	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Donal Kinsella	127	t	60-006	50	72	42	11d	—	—	-6	2.1	12/1 8%
Now down 19lb from her career-high mark but plenty to prove at this stage
7 (5)	Hinemoa ch J:Alan Persse(7) T:M A Cahill	J:Alan Persse(7) T:M A Cahill	128	—	-72902	51	67	24	26d	—	—	+2	8.5	16/1 6%
Both wins came over 1m4f on AW in 2023, chased home an easy winner at Fairyhouse on latest
3 (10)	Bright Start b J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	134	—	560000	57	63	42	16d	—	—	-1	2.7	28/1 3%
Meydan winner in 2021, became regressive for Godolphin and no sign of a revival
6 (11)	Hopkins b J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Timothy Doyle	130	—	658-00	53	72	11	20d	—	—	-2	1.6	25/1 4%
Started life in bumpers, steps up in trip on third handicap start, chance is not obvious
17 (2)	Katzoff gr J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) T:J Morrison	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) T:J Morrison	124	—	0/08-0	47	63	23	47d	—	—	-2	0.7	50/1 2%
Longstanding maiden in both codes (0-30 overall), down the field at Leopardstown in May
15 (1)	Ballycommon Chapel b J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:R Donohoe	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:R Donohoe	124	p	70070-	47	70	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
Very exposed after 18 races, 14 on the Flat, never placed, has been running over hurdles
12 (13)	Essential Part b J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Adrian Sexton	126	t	0/007-	49	70	31	—	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Moderate hurdles form since fair seventh of 18 at Galway on final Flat start last season
16 (4)	Halcyon Spirit b J:Abbie Murphy(10) T:J Motherway	J:Abbie Murphy(10) T:J Motherway	124	tp	8-0009	47	72	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Two wins on AW, down the field in three turf starts for this stable, up against it
NR (6)	Young Lucy bl J:Shane Foley T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs C O'Leary	134	t	89-008	57	62	46	43d	—	—	—	1.8	—
Bumper winner, modest hurdles form, due to run on the Flat here on Tuesday
NR (14)	Still Rolling b J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	128	—	66-397	63	63	50	43d	—	—	—	3.3	—
Third in a five-runner 7f race her best run so far, out of a mare by Galileo, could stay
NR (17)	He's Justagent b J:Gary Carroll T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Gary Carroll T:Ms Sheila Lavery	127	—	0/0080	50	66	29	19d	—	—	—	0	—
No closer than eighth in four handicap attempts, held by Hinemoa on Fairyhouse form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Elsa's Pride	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Struck By Churchil	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Black Soul	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bigz Belief	6/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	11/2
Ifitwasme	15/2	8/1	15/2	13/2	8/1
Applejack Poet	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Crypto Crash	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Albion Princess	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Hinemoa	16/1	14/1	16/1	11/1	14/1
Bright Start	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Hopkins	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Katzoff	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ballycommon Chapel	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Essential Part	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Halcyon Spirit	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hinemoa

8.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

2nd

Elsa's Pride

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Black Soul

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Struck By Churchil

5.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Bigz Belief

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4

6/1

Crypto Crash

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Still Rolling

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ifitwasme

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Bright Start

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Albion Princess

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Applejack Poet

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Young Lucy

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hopkins

1.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ballycommon Chapel

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Katzoff

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Essential Part

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Halcyon Spirit

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

He's Justagent

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Black Soul Top Rated	65	73	53
Still Rolling	63	63	50
Elsa's Pride	61	69	55
Bright Start	57	63	42
Young Lucy	57	62	46
Struck By Churchil	56	73	54
Crypto Crash	55	61	38
Hopkins	53	72	11
Hinemoa	51	67	24
Albion Princess	50	72	42
He's Justagent	50	66	29
Bigz Belief	49	72	64
Ifitwasme	49	70	21
Essential Part	49	70	31
Applejack Poet	47	71	—
Katzoff	47	63	23
Ballycommon Chapel	47	70	—
Halcyon Spirit	47	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Black Soul	11d ago	Quick return
Albion Princess	11d ago	Quick return
Crypto Crash	13d ago	Quick return
Bright Start	16d ago	Fit
Halcyon Spirit	19d ago	Fit
He's Justagent	19d ago	Fit
Hopkins	20d ago	Fit
Elsa's Pride	26d ago	Fit
Ifitwasme	26d ago	Fit
Hinemoa	26d ago	Fit
Applejack Poet	30d ago	Fit
Young Lucy	43d ago	Fit
Still Rolling	43d ago	Fit
Katzoff	47d ago	Fresh
Struck By Churchil	—	—
Bigz Belief	—	—
Ballycommon Chapel	—	—
Essential Part	—	—