Happy Valley

15:15

Lucky Patch Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Date 2024-07-10
Distance 5f
Class
Going Good To Firm
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £104,789

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (2)
Youthful Deal
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:A S Cruz
J:NON-RUNNER
T:A S Cruz
132 tv 669085
75
95
-
25d
6.3
Non-runner
NR (7)
Happy United
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Jamie Richards
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Jamie Richards
122 et 406572
65
99
-
28d 0W/1P 2 runs 0W/1P 2 runs
8.8
Non-runner
1 (6)
Sugar Sugar
Brown
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
132 tb 113466
75
91
-
35d
9.2
Dual 6f course winner in February; still in good form; needs a good pace over 5f
3 (1)
Youthful Spirits
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:Mark Newnham
J:Zac Purton
T:Mark Newnham
130 ht 042741
73
94
-
28d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
17.3
Came good in HK with comfortable C&D win last month and has another good draw
4 (11)
Alpha One
Bay
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:W K Mo
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:W K Mo
128 ht 05/9-4
71
90
-
9d
5.3
Made bold bid from the front when fourth at Sha Tin on recent Hong Kong debut
5 (10)
Atomic Force
Chestnut
J:Harry Bentley
T:W K Mo
J:Harry Bentley
T:W K Mo
124 t 269845
67
98
-
28d
4.3
Fourth over C&D on stable debut but not quite in same form since; others preferred
7 (4)
Red Elegance
Grey
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Douglas Whyte
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Douglas Whyte
122 b -92271
65
94
-
28d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
17.8
Came good for stable with ready C&D win last month; up in grade today; still a big player
8 (3)
Ka Ying Cheer
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:P C Ng
J:Karis Teetan
T:P C Ng
121 v 4-2322
64
92
-
14d
3.5
Very consistent over 6f in recent months; in the mix again if coping with drop to 5f
9 (5)
Motoman
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:P C Ng
J:Alexis Badel
T:P C Ng
121 tb 213-0
64
79
-
9d
3.5
Down the field on recent Hong Kong debut and deserted by Zac Purton today
10 (8)
Do Your Part
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:K W Lui
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:K W Lui
120 1352-1
63
-
-
0W/1P 1 run
13.3
2-5 in NZ; makes HK debut after six-month break; probably best watched
11 (9)
Rich Horse
Bay
J:Ben E Thompson
T:D J Hall
J:Ben E Thompson
T:D J Hall
120 t 1-8
63
59
-
25d
10.3
Struggled (albeit on soft ground) on last month's Hong Kong debut

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Red Elegance
17.8
OR: 3.8 Form: 14 Odds: 0
2nd Youthful Spirits
17.3
OR: 5.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
3rd Do Your Part
13.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
4 Rich Horse
10.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0
5 Sugar Sugar
9.2
OR: 6.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0
6 Happy United
8.8
OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0
7 Youthful Deal
6.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Alpha One
5.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Atomic Force
4.3
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Ka Ying Cheer
3.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Motoman
3.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Youthful Deal
75
95
Sugar Sugar
75
91
Youthful Spirits
73
94
Alpha One
71
90
Atomic Force
67
98
Happy United
65
99
Red Elegance
65
94
Ka Ying Cheer
64
92
Motoman
64
79
Do Your Part
63
Rich Horse
63
59

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Alpha One 9d ago Quick return
Motoman 9d ago Quick return
Ka Ying Cheer 14d ago Fit
Youthful Deal 25d ago Fit
Rich Horse 25d ago Fit
Happy United 28d ago Fit
Youthful Spirits 28d ago Fit
Atomic Force 28d ago Fit
Red Elegance 28d ago Fit
Sugar Sugar 35d ago Fit
Do Your Part

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.