Unibet - Proudly Supporting Women In Racing Apprentice Handicap (Racing Excellence) (Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

16:05

Date 2024-07-10

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	God Of Fire Bay J:Liam Wright T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Liam Wright T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	142	—	396-21	77	83	61	4d	—	—	-33	26.8	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Made all at Beverley on Saturday; third in a better race than this over C&D last August
2 (8)	Beau French Chestnut J:Anna Gibson(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Anna Gibson(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	136	—	0242/5	71	78	-	26d	—	—	-4	8.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-5 and well held on stable debut after over three years off last month
6 (6)	Shaheen Saqaar Bay J:Fred Daly(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Fred Daly(5) T:Ed Dunlop	131	—	-36531	66	82	73	20d	—	—	+9	19.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3lb higher than when winning at Chelmsford last time; major player if stamina holds out
9 (3)	The Bay Warrior Bay J:Joe Bradnam(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Joe Bradnam(5) T:Mark Usher	125	—	523067	60	82	60	9d	—	—	0	6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Just 1lb higher than when winning over C&D in January; could bounce back
4 (1)	Moab Bay J:Cian Horgan T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Cian Horgan T:Henrietta C Knight	132	—	4-3476	67	80	52	20d	—	—	+2	5.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Promise in two starts at Dundalk during the winter, but not repeated it for this yard
3 (7)	Forge Valley Lad Bay J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:David Simcock	J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:David Simcock	133	—	-84698	68	74	80	18d	—	—	+2	5.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Well handicapped, but has finished out of the frame in all four visits here
7 (2)	Early Morning Dew Chestnut J:Archie Young T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Archie Young T:Jim & Suzi Best	130	—	2231-8	65	81	47	20d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Behind two of these on return from 434 days off at Chelmsford last month; much more needed
NR (5)	Hadley Park Bay J:Shariq Mohd T:Joe Ponting	J:Shariq Mohd T:Joe Ponting	131	v	/45-87	66	79	19	23d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Back off last winning mark but has lost his way lately; visor on
NR (4)	Bletchley Storm Chestnut J:Olivia Tubb T:George Baker	J:Olivia Tubb T:George Baker	133	—	016811	68	82	65	1d	—	—	—	23.5	—	—
Two wins for previous yard in 2024; winning debut for new trainer at Brighton yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
God Of Fire	4/9	4/9	4/9	2/5	4/9
Beau French	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1	11/2
Shaheen Saqaar	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
The Bay Warrior	16/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Moab	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Forge Valley Lad	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Early Morning Dew	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

God Of Fire

26.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Bletchley Storm

23.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 19 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Shaheen Saqaar

19.6

OR: 4 Form: 12.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Beau French

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

The Bay Warrior

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Forge Valley Lad

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Moab

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Early Morning Dew

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Hadley Park

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
God Of Fire	77	83	61
Beau French	71	78	—
Forge Valley Lad	68	74	80
Bletchley Storm	68	82	65
Moab	67	80	52
Shaheen Saqaar	66	82	73
Hadley Park	66	79	19
Early Morning Dew	65	81	47
The Bay Warrior	60	82	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bletchley Storm	1d ago	Quick return
God Of Fire	4d ago	Quick return
The Bay Warrior	9d ago	Quick return
Forge Valley Lad	18d ago	Fit
Shaheen Saqaar	20d ago	Fit
Moab	20d ago	Fit
Early Morning Dew	20d ago	Fit
Hadley Park	23d ago	Fit
Beau French	26d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.