Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

16:35

Date 2024-07-10

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (6)	Savannah Grey Grey J:William Buick T:Ollie Sangster	J:William Buick T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-23	10.6	6/4 40%
Enough to like on breeding and stable does have 2yo winners first time; market revealing
5 (3)	Miss El Fundi Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	45	-	84	67	18d	—	—	-18	7.6	11/4 27%
Caught the eye on debut here and not disgraced when fifth in the Chesham; high on list
1 (12)	Stage Effect Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	132	—	61	76	82	15	47d	—	—	+10	19.2	9/1 10%
Won well at Haydock on second start; 4lb penalty not a major issue but stall 12 could be
11 (1)	Toolatetonegotiate Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	128	—	3	-	75	-	65d	—	—	-2	4.7	14/1 7%
Promising third on her Bath debut in May (150-1); entitled to improve
3 (2)	Cristalino Bay J:David Probert T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Probert T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	7	-	64	-	21d	—	—	-6	2.1	14/1 7%
Only seventh when sent off 7-2 for her debut; smart half-brother is 1-1 on AW
10 (4)	Tiete Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	128	—	8	-	60	-	27d	—	—	-4	1.6	14/1 7%
Green when eighth on last month's Newbury debut; may appreciate further in time
2 (7)	Bermuda Princess Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	96	-	71	-	25d	—	—	-3	1	22/1 4%
Well held in two starts on turf but sire has a good record here
4 (5)	Mirage Mistress Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	22/1 4%
Worth a market check for stable that had such a fine spring with 2yo newcomers
9 (8)	Skellig Isle Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	128	—	—	-	50	-	26d	—	—	-3	1.1	25/1 4%
Looked virtually unrideable early when beating one home on her Sandown debut last month
12 (9)	Waking Dream Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	64	-	63	-	23d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
Showed little in two runs on turf last month; needs switch to AW to make a big difference
6 (10)	Nora Barnacle Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Clifford Lee T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	66/1 1%
Stable can get them ready first time but her pedigree suggests she may appreciate further
7 (11)	Sassy Sprezzatura Bay J:Jim Crowley T:George Baker	J:Jim Crowley T:George Baker	128	—	—	-	-	-	35d	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
Ran green when a tailed off last of 11 on her debut over C&D five weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Savannah Grey	6/4	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/4
Miss El Fundi	9/4	11/4	5/2	85/40	5/2
Stage Effect	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Toolatetonegotiate	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Cristalino	14/1	12/1	12/1	9/1	12/1
Tiete	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Bermuda Princess	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Mirage Mistress	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Skellig Isle	25/1	25/1	22/1	18/1	25/1
Waking Dream	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Nora Barnacle	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sassy Sprezzatura	100/1	125/1	80/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stage Effect

19.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

9/1

2nd

Savannah Grey

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

6/4

3rd

Miss El Fundi

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

11/4

Toolatetonegotiate

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cristalino

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Tiete

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Skellig Isle

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Bermuda Princess

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Mirage Mistress

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Waking Dream

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Nora Barnacle

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Sassy Sprezzatura

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stage Effect	76	82	15
Savannah Grey	—	—	—
Miss El Fundi	—	84	67
Toolatetonegotiate	—	75	—
Cristalino	—	64	—
Tiete	—	60	—
Bermuda Princess	—	71	—
Mirage Mistress	—	—	—
Skellig Isle	—	50	—
Waking Dream	—	63	—
Nora Barnacle	—	—	—
Sassy Sprezzatura	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss El Fundi	18d ago	Fit
Cristalino	21d ago	Fit
Waking Dream	23d ago	Fit
Bermuda Princess	25d ago	Fit
Skellig Isle	26d ago	Fit
Tiete	27d ago	Fit
Sassy Sprezzatura	35d ago	Fit
Stage Effect	47d ago	Fresh
Toolatetonegotiate	65d ago	Fresh
Savannah Grey	—	—
Mirage Mistress	—	—
Nora Barnacle	—	—