Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

18:10

Date 2024-07-10

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Atlantic Gamble Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	142	—	-97111	72	78	61	10d	—	—	+4	38.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Hat-trick includes a C&D score and a dead-heat latest; penalised but chance clear to see
2 (1)	Forever A Diamond Brown J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	136	—	3-1754	66	76	57	15d	—	—	-7	11.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Back on her winning mark; yet to see out 1m too well, albeit in the face of stiffer tasks
3 (10)	Tambourine Dream Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	135	—	5-59	65	74	30	51d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Weighted to form of initial 7f starts but remains capable of better; hood off this time
4 (9)	Valadero Chestnut J:William Buick T:Brian Toomey	J:William Buick T:Brian Toomey	134	p	-33095	64	74	43	24d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-12 and most effective over 9.5f on Tapeta so far this year; mark never lower, at least
6 (8)	Icecap Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	132	—	666	62	69	-	27d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Midfield finishes in all maiden/novice starts; could be that she'll need further than 1m
10 (7)	Poles Apart Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	124	—	7879	54	75	43	40d	—	—	-4	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Gone the wrong way since debut, but perhaps the return to 1m on Polytrack will help
5 (5)	Cadogan Gardens Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Charles Hills	J:Tom Marquand T:Charles Hills	133	—	891-07	63	72	34	20d	—	—	-1	4.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Poor both starts this term, including back at her winning venue of Wolverhampton latest
9 (3)	Solo Solataire Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	127	—	0-4406	57	61	-	13d	—	—	0	2.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Unexciting maiden form in the US; first two starts over here weren't all that conclusive
NR (2)	Theworldsnotenough Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	132	p	9-1249	62	72	37	20d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Repeat of peak Tapeta form won't suffice (untried on Polytrack); yard won this in 2023
NR (6)	Never Mind Me Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	131	b	6-5726	61	76	54	24d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Enters calculations on the form of his Chelmsford near-miss; step up to 1m should suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atlantic Gamble	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Forever A Diamond	4/1	4/1	4/1	10/3	4/1
Tambourine Dream	5/1	5/1	9/2	4/1	5/1
Valadero	9/1	9/1	17/2	8/1	17/2
Icecap	8/1	17/2	17/2	15/2	17/2
Poles Apart	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Cadogan Gardens	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Solo Solataire	25/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Atlantic Gamble

38.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 22 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Forever A Diamond

11.5

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

4/1

3rd

Tambourine Dream

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Valadero

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Icecap

5.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Cadogan Gardens

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Theworldsnotenough

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Poles Apart

2.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Never Mind Me

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Solo Solataire

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Atlantic Gamble	72	78	61
Forever A Diamond	66	76	57
Tambourine Dream	65	74	30
Valadero	64	74	43
Cadogan Gardens	63	72	34
Icecap	62	69	—
Theworldsnotenough	62	72	37
Never Mind Me	61	76	54
Solo Solataire	57	61	—
Poles Apart	54	75	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Atlantic Gamble	10d ago	Quick return
Solo Solataire	13d ago	Quick return
Forever A Diamond	15d ago	Fit
Cadogan Gardens	20d ago	Fit
Theworldsnotenough	20d ago	Fit
Valadero	24d ago	Fit
Never Mind Me	24d ago	Fit
Icecap	27d ago	Fit
Poles Apart	40d ago	Fit
Tambourine Dream	51d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.