Cruise Control Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

19:35

Cruise Control Handicap

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 7f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (16)	Monsieur Patat Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	131	—	49/711	56	79	50	4d	—	—	-17	9.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
No surprise to see him turned out again under small penalty; every chance of the hat-trick
2 (5)	Believe You Me Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	133	—	7-8242	58	73	47	3d	—	—	-10	7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D win last July came off this mark; arrives in form; hard to knock out of the equation
11 (3)	Lady Wingalong Grey J:George Downing T:David Evans	J:George Downing T:David Evans	128	—	0-1422	53	75	66	10d	—	—	-11	5.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Clear second off this mark last week; slow ground would be a possible negative
14 (13)	Fact Or Fable Grey J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	126	p	-96422	51	72	66	16d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three-time C&D winner last year; fine on any ground and arrives in form; each-way shout
9 (9)	Plumette Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alastair Ralph	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alastair Ralph	130	—	542503	55	72	43	15d	—	—	+1	7.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Finished a long way off the front pair back on turf latest; this is way more competitive
12 (2)	Marchetti Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	127	—	-73416	52	71	57	27d	—	—	+5	9.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Wins both came after breaks of around three months; only holds each-way claims
15 (11)	Port Noir Black J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	126	t	307472	51	73	62	18d	—	—	+2	6.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ordinary record on ground slower than good but always liked it here and arrives in form
13 (10)	Gilt Edge Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Christopher Mason	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Christopher Mason	126	p	579-31	51	74	61	22d	—	—	-4	2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Wins all come in the summer; this tougher but there can't be any complaints about 2lb rise
10 (1)	Jade Country Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	129	p	00-909	54	72	27	35d	—	—	-2	2.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
No signs of an imminent revival in three runs back; can't be recommended
1 (12)	Ceilidh Chestnut J:Nicola Currie T:George Baker	J:Nicola Currie T:George Baker	135	—	1-6729	60	73	63	23d	—	—	+7	10.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
6lb above his last winning mark but acts on slow ground and proven over an undulating 7f
7 (8)	Bungle Bay Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:James Evans	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:James Evans	130	—	3-2121	55	73	47	115d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	4.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-9 on turf; little wiggle room off this mark (upped 3lb) back from four months off
4 (7)	Boujee Gold Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	37918-	56	71	45	198d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	9.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Track and going are unknowns back from a break; want to see support before considering her
16 (4)	Dynamite Katie Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Grace Harris	J:Joey Haynes T:Grace Harris	122	h	8-0085	47	65	56	18d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
More zip latest; unproven on forecast slow ground and is some way down the pecking order
3 (15)	Porterinthejungle Chestnut J:William Cox T:Deborah Faulkner	J:William Cox T:Deborah Faulkner	132	h	8-0818	57	71	65	10d	—	—	0	2.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dual C&D winner; has never been the most consistent and this is stronger
8 (6)	Royal Toast Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	130	b	42-600	55	-	-	35d	—	—	0	1.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Ex-Irish maiden who's struggled badly under both codes for this yard; be a shock winner
NR (14)	American Rose Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Evans	130	—	6-2902	55	72	57	25d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Bumped into one over 1m here last time; drop back in trip fine and holds leading claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Monsieur Patat	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Believe You Me	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lady Wingalong	4/1	9/2	4/1	7/2	9/2
Fact Or Fable	11/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Plumette	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Marchetti	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Port Noir	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Gilt Edge	16/1	18/1	16/1	11/1	16/1
Jade Country	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Ceilidh	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Bungle Bay	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Boujee Gold	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Dynamite Katie	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Porterinthejungle	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Royal Toast	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fact Or Fable

11.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

2nd

Ceilidh

10.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

3rd

Boujee Gold

9.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Marchetti

9.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Monsieur Patat

9.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Plumette

7.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Believe You Me

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Port Noir

6.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Lady Wingalong

5.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Bungle Bay

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Porterinthejungle

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Jade Country

2.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Gilt Edge

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Royal Toast

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

American Rose

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dynamite Katie

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ceilidh	60	73	63
Believe You Me	58	73	47
Porterinthejungle	57	71	65
Monsieur Patat	56	79	50
Boujee Gold	56	71	45
Plumette	55	72	43
Bungle Bay	55	73	47
Royal Toast	55	—	—
American Rose	55	72	57
Jade Country	54	72	27
Lady Wingalong	53	75	66
Marchetti	52	71	57
Fact Or Fable	51	72	66
Port Noir	51	73	62
Gilt Edge	51	74	61
Dynamite Katie	47	65	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Believe You Me	3d ago	Quick return
Monsieur Patat	4d ago	Quick return
Lady Wingalong	10d ago	Quick return
Porterinthejungle	10d ago	Quick return
Plumette	15d ago	Fit
Fact Or Fable	16d ago	Fit
Port Noir	18d ago	Fit
Dynamite Katie	18d ago	Fit
Gilt Edge	22d ago	Fit
Ceilidh	23d ago	Fit
American Rose	25d ago	Fit
Marchetti	27d ago	Fit
Jade Country	35d ago	Fit
Royal Toast	35d ago	Fit
Bungle Bay	115d ago	Long break
Boujee Gold	198d ago	Long break