Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:25

Family Fun Day Coming To Dundalk 15th August Handicap

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 1m4f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (17)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (11)	Dark Oak Bay J:Colin Keane T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Colin Keane T:Joseph G Murphy	130	—	732	75	72	-	20d	—	—	+1	18.4	9/2 18%
Not sure what she achieved last time but comes here as an unexposed handicap debutante
6 (4)	Bright N Shine Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Terence O'Brien	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Terence O'Brien	135	t	22812-	68	78	53	226d	—	—	+7	24	9/2 18%
In career-best form here in November but subsequent absence casts some doubts
1 (16)	Eskimo Komet Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Luke Comer	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Luke Comer	142	—	-33483	75	90	62	20d	—	—	+2	14.1	13/2 13%
Course maiden winner who returns here after a close third over 1m4f at Limerick
13 (12)	Northern Sonas Bay J:Ben Coen T:A Oliver	J:Ben Coen T:A Oliver	127	t	9-3377	72	76	-	20d	—	—	-1	8.2	17/2 11%
Hasn't offered much in handicaps with and without a tongue-tie; maiden form offers hope
4 (9)	True Statesman b/br J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	137	—	406467	70	89	55	18d	—	—	-2	7.9	8/1 11%
Won twice at two for the Johnstons; winless since and has become hard to predict
8 (6)	Picpoul Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	131	t	607238	64	80	62	112d	—	—	+2	10.6	11/1 8%
Three-time course winner but can never be sure what to expect; only 8th last time
7 (13)	Miss Paloma Bay J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) T:Henry De Bromhead	133	—	63/16-	66	75	62	210d	—	—	-1	5.7	16/1 6%
Defied a long absence here in November and following effort excused; able when fresh
10 (8)	Avondale Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Barry Connell	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Barry Connell	129	—	5/78-	62	74	-	—	—	—	-3	5.4	12/1 8%
Some promise in Flat maidens; respectable run over hurdles following an absence
5 (1)	Pachmena Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	136	tp	997458	69	84	39	18d	—	—	0	6.5	12/1 8%
Runs well now and again, as was the case when fourth here in March; 2-51 overall
11 (15)	Brave Thought Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	128	—	-46300	61	82	64	56d	—	—	0	5.9	16/1 6%
A maiden with placed form over C&D but was entitled to have run better the last twice
2 (14)	Leading Lion Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	140	t	723-0	73	80	36	98d	—	—	+3	7	20/1 5%
Tailed off in four hurdles for this yard and poor returned to the Flat; now tongue tied
3 (10)	Forbidden Planet Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	137	—	00/020	70	78	38	18d	—	—	+2	6.1	20/1 5%
Standout run since trained in Ireland remains his second over 1m2f here in April
12 (3)	Apache War Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	127	—	450	72	75	31	91d	—	—	+3	6.3	33/1 3%
Best of three maiden runs here was the first when beaten under 5l over 1m2f
14 (5)	Wajaaha Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Anthony McCann	J:J M Sheridan T:Anthony McCann	127	b	330-90	60	87	67	60d	—	—	0	3.3	33/1 3%
Not great of late under either code and hard to know what this 9yo will make of blinkers
NR (2)	Nusra Bay J:Shane Foley T:G Ahern	J:Shane Foley T:G Ahern	127	—	6-6127	60	81	64	44d	—	—	—	2.5	—
Reserve; won twice here since November, over 1m4f and 2m; last run not her best
NR (7)	Tara Power Bay J:TBC T:Keith Henry Clarke	J: T:Keith Henry Clarke	124	—	-25370	57	78	63	35d	—	—	—	4.3	—
Reserve; sole win came here but in 2021 and he's 1-34 overall; can be taken on
NR (17)	Sapristi Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:Thomas Dowling	J:Danny Sheehy T:Thomas Dowling	119	tp	5-0006	52	86	-	16d	—	—	—	0.5	—
Reserve; 1m2f claiming winner last summer; right out of form since back from a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dark Oak	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	4/1
Bright N Shine	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Eskimo Komet	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Northern Sonas	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	17/2
True Statesman	8/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Picpoul	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Miss Paloma	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Avondale	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Pachmena	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Brave Thought	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1	16/1
Leading Lion	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Forbidden Planet	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Apache War	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Wajaaha	33/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bright N Shine

OR: 4.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Dark Oak

18.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Eskimo Komet

14.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Picpoul

10.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Northern Sonas

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

True Statesman

7.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Leading Lion

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Pachmena

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Apache War

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Forbidden Planet

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Brave Thought

5.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Miss Paloma

5.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Avondale

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Tara Power

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Wajaaha

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Nusra

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sapristi

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dark Oak	75	72	—
Eskimo Komet	75	90	62
Leading Lion	73	80	36
Northern Sonas	72	76	—
Apache War	72	75	31
True Statesman	70	89	55
Forbidden Planet	70	78	38
Pachmena	69	84	39
Bright N Shine	68	78	53
Miss Paloma	66	75	62
Picpoul	64	80	62
Avondale	62	74	—
Brave Thought	61	82	64
Wajaaha	60	87	67
Nusra	60	81	64
Tara Power	57	78	63
Sapristi	52	86	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sapristi	16d ago	Fit
True Statesman	18d ago	Fit
Pachmena	18d ago	Fit
Forbidden Planet	18d ago	Fit
Dark Oak	20d ago	Fit
Eskimo Komet	20d ago	Fit
Northern Sonas	20d ago	Fit
Tara Power	35d ago	Fit
Nusra	44d ago	Fit
Brave Thought	56d ago	Fresh
Wajaaha	60d ago	Fresh
Apache War	91d ago	Long break
Leading Lion	98d ago	Long break
Picpoul	112d ago	Long break
Miss Paloma	210d ago	Long break
Bright N Shine	226d ago	Long break
Avondale	—	—