University Hospitals Birmingham Charity Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Stratford

4:30

Date 2024-07-14

Distance 2m6f7y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,641

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11	Hammer Dan b J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	149	t	6/0P-1	76	91	50	30d	—	—	-2	24.5	11/4 27%
Won at Newton Abbot (3m2f, good) one month ago and could now have more to offer
4	No More Bolero br J:Brendan Powell T:David Bridgwater	J:Brendan Powell T:David Bridgwater	160	p	556-82	87	95	75	19d	—	—	-3	14.3	4/1 20%
Second at Newton Abbot (2m2f, good) with cheekpieces enlisted; this trip is interesting
7	My Girl Katie b J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	155	p	7-3574	82	99	91	16d	—	—	-1	11.6	6/1 14%
0-15 as hurdler (also 0-3 over fences under rules) and well held last two starts
10	No More No gr J:Richard Patrick T:Lawney Hill	J:Richard Patrick T:Lawney Hill	151	tv	P5P-19	78	96	80	32d	—	—	-2	10.6	6/1 14%
C&D win in May despite being 12lb out of the weights; 3m2f did not work out next time
1	Prairie Diamond b J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	166	h	4406-3	93	94	55	45d	—	—	+7	16.4	9/1 10%
Latest was his closest finish over hurdles, albeit 10l behind the second; hooded this time
9	Eric Carmen b J:James Davies T:Gary Hanmer	J:James Davies T:Gary Hanmer	151	—	7-51P7	78	96	81	29d	—	—	+2	8.9	12/1 8%
Having won at Southwell (2m4f) three starts back, he's achieved more than many of these
6	Larkfield Lusive b J:John Kington T:L J Morgan	J:John Kington T:L J Morgan	155	v	5-8556	82	100	57	10d	—	—	+3	9.9	12/1 8%
Maiden; below form over about 3m recently and the cheekpieces are now replaced by a visor
8	Jaunty Belle ch J:Mr Callum Pritchard(7) T:David Rees	J:Mr Callum Pritchard(7) T:David Rees	154	tp	P585-P	81	95	86	39d	—	—	+5	8.8	22/1 4%
One or both of the new tongue-tie and cheekpieces needs to give her a big boost
3	Tique b/br J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	163	p	674-56	90	96	79	16d	—	—	+7	11.1	22/1 4%
Stamina is a doubt but at least this is her handicap debut, with headgear first time
2	Jassur Des Brosses b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	163	—	000-08	90	88	36	23d	—	—	+8	10.9	25/1 4%
66-1, weakened right out of it in handicap at Market Rasen (2m5f, good) on debut for yard
NR	Absolutely Fine b J:TBC T:Dan Skelton	J: T:Dan Skelton	156	—	7679-	83	92	60	113d	—	—	—	8.3	—
Pretty much tailed off in his bumper and three hurdle races; handicap debut after wind op

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hammer Dan	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
No More Bolero	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
My Girl Katie	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
No More No	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Prairie Diamond	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	17/2
Eric Carmen	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Larkfield Lusive	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Jaunty Belle	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Tique	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Jassur Des Brosses	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hammer Dan

24.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Prairie Diamond

16.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

No More Bolero

14.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

My Girl Katie

11.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Tique

11.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Jassur Des Brosses

10.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

No More No

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Larkfield Lusive

9.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Eric Carmen

8.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Jaunty Belle

8.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Absolutely Fine

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prairie Diamond Top Rated	93	94	55
Tique	90	96	79
Jassur Des Brosses	90	88	36
No More Bolero	87	95	75
Absolutely Fine	83	92	60
My Girl Katie	82	99	91
Larkfield Lusive	82	100	57
Jaunty Belle	81	95	86
No More No	78	96	80
Eric Carmen	78	96	81
Hammer Dan	76	91	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Larkfield Lusive	10d ago	Quick return
My Girl Katie	16d ago	Fit
Tique	16d ago	Fit
No More Bolero	19d ago	Fit
Jassur Des Brosses	23d ago	Fit
Eric Carmen	29d ago	Fit
Hammer Dan	30d ago	Fit
No More No	32d ago	Fit
Jaunty Belle	39d ago	Fit
Prairie Diamond	45d ago	Fit
Absolutely Fine	113d ago	Long break