St Austell Brewery Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Newton Abbot

17:55

Date 2024-07-15

Distance 2m167y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £3,812

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Pure Seduction Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	152	—	3-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	15.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Bought for £30,000 after making the frame in two Irish points; yard does well in bumpers
1	Back In The Bay Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	156	t	P2-4	-	106	90	14d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ran big race when fourth on recent rules debut at Worcester; major player here
3	O'Malley Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Keiran Burke	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Keiran Burke	156	—	B-5	-	98	66	56d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Struggled on debut in March but her C&D fifth in May was much more encouraging
2	Eskimo Sam Chestnut J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yard enjoys some bumper success but this newcomer does not have an exciting pedigree
4	Absence Of Malice Chestnut J:Danny Mullins T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Danny Mullins T:Peter & Michael Bowen	152	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Out of an unraced half-sister to smart jumper Pym; yard does well in summer bumpers
5	Dance The Moon Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	152	—	4-7	-	98	75	30d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has very good pedigree; made promising debut in December but flopped last month
7	Polly Pi Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	152	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Half-sister to low-grade hurdle winner Timassini; stable not prolific in bumpers nowadays
6	Lady Henrietta Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	152	—	85	-	92	48	44d	—	—	-5	1.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
May not be straightforward but was not beaten far on her first two starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pure Seduction	9/4	5/2	9/4	85/40	9/4
Back In The Bay	11/4	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
O'Malley	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Eskimo Sam	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Absence Of Malice	10/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Dance The Moon	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Polly Pi	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Lady Henrietta	20/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pure Seduction

15.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Back In The Bay

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

O'Malley

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Eskimo Sam

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Absence Of Malice

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Dance The Moon

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Lady Henrietta

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

20/1

Polly Pi

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pure Seduction	—	—	—
Back In The Bay	—	106	90
O'Malley	—	98	66
Eskimo Sam	—	—	—
Absence Of Malice	—	—	—
Dance The Moon	—	98	75
Polly Pi	—	—	—
Lady Henrietta	—	92	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Back In The Bay	14d ago	Fit
Dance The Moon	30d ago	Fit
Lady Henrietta	44d ago	Fit
O'Malley	56d ago	Fresh
Pure Seduction	—	—
Eskimo Sam	—	—
Absence Of Malice	—	—
Polly Pi	—	—