On Course Values Online DragonBet Handicap – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

21:00

On Course Values Online DragonBet Handicap

Date 2024-07-17

Distance 2m

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Tarbat Ness br/gr J:Rossa Ryan T:John Berry	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Berry	130	p	2-6422	53	68	60	47d	—	—	-15	12.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Versatile ground-wise and has finished runner-up in his last two starts; respected
2 (4)	Kissininthebackrow Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	135	h	674735	58	77	61	11d	—	—	-7	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Sole win was in January 2022 but she's run respectably at 1m6f last twice; not ruled out
3 (11)	Easy Equation Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	135	p	-32242	58	66	59	37d	—	—	-2	17.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Solid record for current yard including a close second at Pontefract latest; key player
11 (7)	Gavin Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Peter & Michael Bowen	123	ht	4030/7	46	51	38	7d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Out of sorts over jumps this year and he struggled back on the Flat here last week
4 (2)	Adrian Grey J:Jason Watson T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Jason Watson T:Bernard Llewellyn	135	—	956444	58	71	43	47d	—	—	-4	4.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Nowhere near the force of old and last win was in 2021; others preferred
10 (9)	Triple Nickle Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	123	p	-53656	46	62	22	7d	—	—	-5	3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not beaten far back on the Flat here last time and has possibilities back up in trip
9 (8)	Humaniste Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	129	p	/603-6	52	71	48	23d	—	—	-3	1.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Multiple point/hurdle winner but sole Flat win was in 2018; down the list
1 (10)	Thahab Ifraj Chestnut J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	137	—	8/37-2	60	69	49	32d	—	—	+5	8.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Veteran who chased home a runaway winner at Bath (2m1f) on return last month; in the mix
6 (6)	So Farhh So Good Bay J:Connor Brace T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Connor Brace T:Robbie Llewellyn	133	—	60-688	56	69	9	56d	—	—	-1	2.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
11-race maiden who has struggled the last twice and has stamina to prove at this trip
5 (1)	Sullivan Bay Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Billy Loughnane T:Henrietta C Knight	133	tb	-71369	56	70	-	—	—	—	+4	6.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has lost his way and he needs a major revival back in this sphere; new headgear
NR (3)	Baby Sham Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Seamus Mullins	J:NON-RUNNER T:Seamus Mullins	132	—	3120/4	55	50	-	15d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Lost her way over hurdles in last 12 months and was quiet back on the Flat last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tarbat Ness	9/4	9/4	2/1	85/40	9/4
Kissininthebackrow	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Easy Equation	7/2	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Gavin	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Adrian	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Triple Nickle	14/1	9/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Humaniste	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Thahab Ifraj	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
So Farhh So Good	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Sullivan Bay	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Easy Equation

17.3

OR: 2 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Tarbat Ness

12.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Kissininthebackrow

8.5

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Thahab Ifraj

8.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Sullivan Bay

6.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Adrian

4.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Gavin

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Triple Nickle

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

16/1

So Farhh So Good

2.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Humaniste

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Baby Sham

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thahab Ifraj	60	69	49
Kissininthebackrow	58	77	61
Easy Equation	58	66	59
Adrian	58	71	43
So Farhh So Good	56	69	9
Sullivan Bay	56	70	—
Baby Sham	55	50	—
Tarbat Ness	53	68	60
Humaniste	52	71	48
Gavin	46	51	38
Triple Nickle	46	62	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gavin	7d ago	Quick return
Triple Nickle	7d ago	Quick return
Kissininthebackrow	11d ago	Quick return
Baby Sham	15d ago	Fit
Humaniste	23d ago	Fit
Thahab Ifraj	32d ago	Fit
Easy Equation	37d ago	Fit
Tarbat Ness	47d ago	Fresh
Adrian	47d ago	Fresh
So Farhh So Good	56d ago	Fresh
Sullivan Bay	—	—