Nicky Warren's 53rd Happy Birthday Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

16:22

Nicky Warren's 53rd Happy Birthday Handicap

Date 2024-07-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (11)	Roberto Caro Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Tom Marquand T:Adrian Paul Keatley	132	—	4-124	77	83	57	47d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Well beaten last time but promise previously and this 3yo could be suited by sprinting
9 (2)	Lord Abama Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	128	b	-98114	68	88	81	25d	—	—	+8	19.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two C&D wins in these blinkers this season and can make another bold bid
8 (9)	Dazy Mazy Brown J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	129	—	475121	69	91	72	46d	—	—	+13	27.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two wins from her last three starts and this unexposed filly could continue to improve
2 (8)	Fortamour Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	140	—	-65143	80	89	73	42d	—	—	+8	18.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
In fine form at favourite course Ripon on last few starts; runs at Thirsk for first time
4 (12)	Cold Stare Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	tp	617256	75	88	80	4d	—	—	+3	13.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Up and down this season, and below par last Saturday, but won over C&D (soft) in April
3 (7)	Roach Power Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	t	1-0870	75	90	61	32d	—	—	+7	15.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won final two runs last season but has struggled on his four runs this year
1 (10)	It Just Takes Time Brown J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	141	—	67-200	81	89	67	32d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Disappointing the last twice but he's won on his last two visits to Thirsk
12 (5)	Music Society Grey J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	125	p	053674	65	89	56	11d	—	—	-2	7.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
9yo who is on a long losing sequence but he's on a dangerous mark
10 (3)	Impressor Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	127	p	385524	67	88	81	4d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only fourth on Saturday but runner-up at Ripon two starts ago and he's not ruled out
11 (1)	Havana Pursuit Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	127	—	816-95	67	89	33	19d	—	—	+2	5.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair fifth last time; a bigger run could be forthcoming now back on a slow surface
5 (6)	William Dewhirst Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	133	h	316-99	73	87	70	79d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	6.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Only ninth on both runs this season but the return to slow ground looks a positive
6 (4)	Bicep Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	0-2007	72	85	56	24d	—	—	+4	6.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Went close on AW on reappearance but has failed to shine on his three runs since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Roberto Caro	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Lord Abama	7/1	7/1	6/1	7/1	7/1
Dazy Mazy	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Fortamour	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Cold Stare	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Roach Power	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
It Just Takes Time	7/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Music Society	10/1	9/1	10/1	15/2	10/1
Impressor	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Havana Pursuit	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
William Dewhirst	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Bicep	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dazy Mazy

27.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Lord Abama

19.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Fortamour

18.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Roach Power

15.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Cold Stare

13.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Roberto Caro

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

It Just Takes Time

10.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Impressor

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Music Society

7.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

10/1

William Dewhirst

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Bicep

6.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Havana Pursuit

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
It Just Takes Time	81	89	67
Fortamour	80	89	73
Roberto Caro	77	83	57
Cold Stare	75	88	80
Roach Power	75	90	61
William Dewhirst	73	87	70
Bicep	72	85	56
Dazy Mazy	69	91	72
Lord Abama	68	88	81
Impressor	67	88	81
Havana Pursuit	67	89	33
Music Society	65	89	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cold Stare	4d ago	Quick return
Impressor	4d ago	Quick return
Music Society	11d ago	Quick return
Havana Pursuit	19d ago	Fit
Bicep	24d ago	Fit
Lord Abama	25d ago	Fit
Roach Power	32d ago	Fit
It Just Takes Time	32d ago	Fit
Fortamour	42d ago	Fit
Dazy Mazy	46d ago	Fresh
Roberto Caro	47d ago	Fresh
William Dewhirst	79d ago	Fresh