Peter Villars Sport Ground Maintenance Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

5:10

Peter Villars Sport Ground Maintenance Handicap

Date 2024-07-18

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13 (14)	Bobacious b J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	128	—	637531	58	75	64	16d	—	—	-11	27.2	13/8 38%
Rallied to win at Brighton 16 days ago (1m2f, good to firm); low mileage & can do better
6 (7)	Gert Lush b J:Saffie Osborne T:Roger Teal	J:Saffie Osborne T:Roger Teal	132	—	0-0535	62	77	62	12d	—	—	-5	6.1	8/1 11%
Not found her best form this year but she's well handicapped and has run well here before
5 (9)	Carp Kid b J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	133	p	6-2947	63	77	55	23d	—	—	-4	6.1	17/2 11%
Won this race last year off 2lb higher; mixed this year but drop into Class 6 will help
9 (6)	Sonnet Star gr J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	130	h	2235-5	60	76	51	48d	—	—	-4	5	8/1 11%
Yet to match best novice form in two handicaps but still early days and effective over C&D
11 (1)	Blue Hero b J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	128	h	-87451	58	74	65	15d	—	—	+7	14.1	14/1 7%
0-32 away from Bath where he is 8-19; still on a fair mark but yet to shine at Chepstow
4 (5)	Precision Storm gr J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	134	tp	856541	64	76	71	24d	—	—	+9	15.4	14/1 7%
Popped up at 18-1 at Bath last month (1m2f, firm); still feasibly treated up 2lb; ground ?
3 (2)	Rebel Angel gr J:Laura Pearson T:David Pipe	J:Laura Pearson T:David Pipe	135	tv	-63735	65	75	64	6d	—	—	+3	8.1	18/1 5%
Inconsistent but capable off this mark; drops in trip with each-way claims
2 (13)	Wonder Starelzaam b J:Trevor Whelan T:Denis Coakley	J:Trevor Whelan T:Denis Coakley	137	—	40-074	67	74	58	26d	—	—	+2	5.1	25/1 4%
Yet to beat a rival this year but he's down in class and a revival isn't impossible
7 (4)	Micks Dream b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Deborah Faulkner	132	—	920-65	62	82	25	16d	—	—	+1	3.9	25/1 4%
Poor strike-rate; dangerous mark but yet to fire this year and there are stamina concerns
8 (10)	Flame Of Kodiac b J:George Rooke T:John & Rhys Flint	J:George Rooke T:John & Rhys Flint	131	p	9-1060	61	77	49	35d	—	—	0	3.8	22/1 4%
Sprung 66-1 surprise here (1m, soft) in May but not matched that in three runs since
14 (8)	Mykonos St John b J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Scott Dixon	125	v	855519	55	78	51	9d	—	—	+6	9.2	28/1 3%
Popped up on AW last month but less good 9 days ago and less prolific on turf
12 (3)	Baikal b J:Jack Gilligan T:Adam West	J:Jack Gilligan T:Adam West	128	tp	5789-8	58	72	30	—	—	—	-1	3	28/1 3%
Not at best on Flat or over hurdles in 2024; cheekpieces return; others look safer
1 (12)	Bug Boy b J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Tony Newcombe	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Tony Newcombe	137	—	1613-8	67	74	40	126d	—	—	+2	5	33/1 3%
Multiple turf winner but usually seen over further than this; others have stronger claims
NR (11)	Bloodhound gr J:TBC T:Adrian Wintle	J: T:Adrian Wintle	130	—	-35530	60	75	62	41d	—	—	—	5.2	—
Hint of promise for C Hills but tailed off on stable debut six weeks ago; check betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bobacious	5/4	5/4	13/8	6/4	5/4
Gert Lush	15/2	7/1	7/1	8/1	15/2
Carp Kid	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Sonnet Star	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Blue Hero	14/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Precision Storm	14/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Rebel Angel	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Wonder Starelzaam	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Micks Dream	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Flame Of Kodiac	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	22/1
Mykonos St John	25/1	25/1	20/1	20/1	28/1
Baikal	28/1	25/1	22/1	20/1	28/1
Bug Boy	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bobacious

27.2

OR: 2 Form: 12.7 Odds: 12.5

13/8

2nd

Precision Storm

15.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

Blue Hero

14.1

OR: 2 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Mykonos St John

9.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Rebel Angel

8.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Gert Lush

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Carp Kid

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Bloodhound

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0

—

Wonder Starelzaam

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Sonnet Star

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Bug Boy

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Micks Dream

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Flame Of Kodiac

3.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Baikal

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wonder Starelzaam Top Rated	67	74	58
Bug Boy	67	74	40
Rebel Angel	65	75	64
Precision Storm	64	76	71
Carp Kid	63	77	55
Gert Lush	62	77	62
Micks Dream	62	82	25
Flame Of Kodiac	61	77	49
Sonnet Star	60	76	51
Bloodhound	60	75	62
Bobacious	58	75	64
Blue Hero	58	74	65
Baikal	58	72	30
Mykonos St John	55	78	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rebel Angel	6d ago	Quick return
Mykonos St John	9d ago	Quick return
Gert Lush	12d ago	Quick return
Blue Hero	15d ago	Fit
Bobacious	16d ago	Fit
Micks Dream	16d ago	Fit
Carp Kid	23d ago	Fit
Precision Storm	24d ago	Fit
Wonder Starelzaam	26d ago	Fit
Flame Of Kodiac	35d ago	Fit
Bloodhound	41d ago	Fit
Sonnet Star	48d ago	Fresh
Bug Boy	126d ago	Long break
Baikal	—	—