Ripon Bell-Ringer Handicap – Ripon

Ripon

15:55

Ripon Bell-Ringer Handicap

Date 2024-07-20

Distance 1m4f10y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,770

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Shadow Dance Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	135	—	3412-0	93	107	86	29d	—	—	-11	20.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Looked the sort to progress but ran poorly at Royal Ascot (good to firm) on reappearance
2 (5)	Sea King Brown J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	141	b	04-101	99	104	81	12d	—	—	+1	16.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has won five of his 12 handicaps, including two (one C&D) of his three this season
7 (3)	Iron Lion Grey J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	133	—	-31615	91	105	70	28d	—	—	+11	24.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Progress has not been smooth but he's had two 1m4f wins this season; not dismissed
3 (7)	Fox Journey Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Oisin Orr T:Sir Michael Stoute	140	—	34-107	98	105	82	8d	—	—	+4	15.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won easily at Newmarket (1m4f, good) in May; both starts since were pretty disappointing
6 (2)	Loyal Touch Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	720150	91	104	87	7d	—	—	+10	18.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well on soft here in May and this first foray over about 1m4f holds some interest
8 (6)	Mr Curiosity Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	—	15466-	90	105	87	301d	—	—	+6	14.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Got up late on in this race (soft) last year off 1lb lower; 301-day absence is a concern
4 (10)	Mr Alan Chestnut J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	139	p	127-48	97	106	53	7d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not discredited this season; a return to ground softer than good could prompt a big run
10 (8)	Machete b/br J:Shane Gray T:David O'Meara	J:Shane Gray T:David O'Meara	130	—	9-4070	88	104	79	7d	—	—	+7	10.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Thrown in on French form; made a promising seasonal/British debut but disappointing since
9 (1)	Lord Protector b/br J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	132	—	-80229	90	104	58	21d	—	—	+13	17	10.00/1	40/1 2%
2nd twice before a lesser show latest; vast majority of his career has been at about 1m2f
NR (9)	L'Astronome Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	142	t	636-86	100	101	51	72d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Ran well on British debut but not nearly so well since in two Group 3s or a 2m handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shadow Dance	7/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	7/4
Sea King	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Iron Lion	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Fox Journey	7/1	7/1	7/1	17/2	7/1
Loyal Touch	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Mr Curiosity	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Mr Alan	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Machete	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lord Protector	33/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Iron Lion

24.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Shadow Dance

20.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Loyal Touch

18.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Lord Protector

OR: 10 Form: 6 Odds: 1

40/1

Sea King

16.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fox Journey

15.3

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Mr Curiosity

14.2

OR: 10 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Mr Alan

13.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

L'Astronome

12.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Machete

10.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
L'Astronome	100	101	51
Sea King	99	104	81
Fox Journey	98	105	82
Mr Alan	97	106	53
Shadow Dance	93	107	86
Iron Lion	91	105	70
Loyal Touch	91	104	87
Mr Curiosity	90	105	87
Lord Protector	90	104	58
Machete	88	104	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Loyal Touch	7d ago	Quick return
Mr Alan	7d ago	Quick return
Machete	7d ago	Quick return
Fox Journey	8d ago	Quick return
Sea King	12d ago	Quick return
Lord Protector	21d ago	Fit
Iron Lion	28d ago	Fit
Shadow Dance	29d ago	Fit
L'Astronome	72d ago	Fresh
Mr Curiosity	301d ago	Long break