George Dunham 65th Birthday "Confined" Handicap (For horses Which Have Not Won A Race In 2024)

Ripon

17:05

Date 2024-07-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (13)	Hurstwood Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Peter Niven	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Peter Niven	132	—	2-9725	56	73	62	30d	—	—	-12	12.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Three wins over C&D; unlucky fifth over C&D last time; well drawn; can gain compensation
12 (3)	Northern Prince Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	121	p	0-5042	50	72	59	17d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-7; career-best when second at Thirsk last time; chance on that form; headgear tried
1 (1)	Gis A Sub Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Paul Midgley	135	p	809665	59	74	59	19d	—	—	-6	5.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Smart juvenile but hasn't won since; on a good mark; fair run last time; others stronger
2 (10)	Shark Two One Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Jessica Macey	J:Laura Pearson T:Jessica Macey	133	b	023445	57	73	67	10d	—	—	-6	7.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two wins over 7f last year; in fair form in May but was beaten over 4l over 7f last time
3 (11)	Vanity Pays Bay J:David Nolan T:Declan Carroll	J:David Nolan T:Declan Carroll	132	—	-78444	61	75	42	34d	—	—	-2	4.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ex-Alice Haynes; 0-14; close 4th over 6f on stable debut last month; worth considering
11 (7)	Flavius Titus Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Danny Brooke	J:Rowan Scott T:Danny Brooke	125	b	75-387	49	70	43	5d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not easy to catch right but won over 6f last season; well beaten at Ayr on Monday
5 (12)	Spear Fir Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	129	—	28/7-7	53	67	42	9d	—	—	-3	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly-raced maiden; creditable run after 411-day break last week; should improve on that
7 (4)	Cassanos Lad Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	128	v	563605	57	73	48	12d	—	—	-2	4.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Best run so far was on the AW; fair run over C&D on third turf run last time; more needed
10 (8)	Louella Bay J:Luke Morris T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Luke Morris T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	126	—	662749	55	72	49	12d	—	—	-1	4.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
13-race maiden; chance on her C&D second in May but well beaten over C&D last time
13 (9)	Missmimi Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tina Jackson	J:James Sullivan T:Tina Jackson	121	—	6-0664	45	71	61	43d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-9; mainly modest form but career-best when fourth off 1lb higher at Thirsk last time
9 (5)	Crack The Kode Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	p	-57668	57	72	46	19d	—	—	-1	2.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two wins on good to soft last season but mainly disappointing this year; plenty to prove
8 (6)	Lezardrieux Bay J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	128	b	7-7869	52	68	39	14d	—	—	-2	1.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Had a busy AW campaign in the winter; patchy form since returning to turf; blinkers tried
NR (2)	Gultari Bay J:Oisin Orr T:William Haggas	J:Oisin Orr T:William Haggas	129	h	976-53	58	65	47	28d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Lightly-raced maiden; creditable third on second handicap start last time; should progress

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hurstwood	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Northern Prince	4/1	7/2	10/3	9/2	4/1
Gis A Sub	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2
Shark Two One	7/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	7/1
Vanity Pays	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Flavius Titus	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Spear Fir	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Cassanos Lad	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Louella	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Missmimi	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Crack The Kode	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Lezardrieux	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hurstwood

12.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Shark Two One

7.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Gis A Sub

5.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Northern Prince

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Vanity Pays

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cassanos Lad

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Louella

4.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Crack The Kode

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Spear Fir

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Gultari

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Flavius Titus

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Missmimi

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lezardrieux

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vanity Pays	61	75	42
Gis A Sub	59	74	59
Gultari	58	65	47
Shark Two One	57	73	67
Cassanos Lad	57	73	48
Crack The Kode	57	72	46
Hurstwood	56	73	62
Louella	55	72	49
Spear Fir	53	67	42
Lezardrieux	52	68	39
Northern Prince	50	72	59
Flavius Titus	49	70	43
Missmimi	45	71	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flavius Titus	5d ago	Quick return
Spear Fir	9d ago	Quick return
Shark Two One	10d ago	Quick return
Cassanos Lad	12d ago	Quick return
Louella	12d ago	Quick return
Lezardrieux	14d ago	Fit
Northern Prince	17d ago	Fit
Gis A Sub	19d ago	Fit
Crack The Kode	19d ago	Fit
Gultari	28d ago	Fit
Hurstwood	30d ago	Fit
Vanity Pays	34d ago	Fit
Missmimi	43d ago	Fit