Arqana Irish EBF Marwell Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

Naas

17:18

Date 2024-07-24

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €29,500

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (9)	Miss Lamai Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	124	-	105	89	35d	—	—	-20	22.7	11/10 48%
Very solid fourth in the Queen Mary last month; sets an excellent standard here
4 (7)	Merrily Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	128	—	41	-	94	74	28d	—	—	-1	14.4	6/1 14%
C&D winner on her second start; more to come from her and unlikely to be far away here
9 (6)	Shamrock Breeze Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	128	—	3313	86	94	84	21d	—	—	+14	24.3	9/1 10%
Third in a Tipperary Listed three weeks ago; more needed here but has an each-way chance
6 (4)	Proudly Yours Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	155	87	94	82	21d	—	—	+9	16.4	12/1 8%
Beaten last twice in stakes races; others more likely but could get into the shake-up
8 (1)	Say Yes To Dreams Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	128	—	2	-	86	69	28d	—	—	0	6.7	14/1 7%
Could be capable of above average improvement and be wherever Merrily is at the death
3 (2)	Make Haste Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	128	ht	10	-	100	88	35d	—	—	+2	8.7	14/1 7%
Ran too bad to be true in the Queen Mary; headgear tried here and has a question to answer
10 (5)	Skillman Ave Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	4	-	90	84	18d	—	—	-6	2.1	12/1 8%
Fourth to Amazing Athena over C&D earlier this month; every chance of turning those tables
1 (8)	Amazing Athena Brown J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	128	p	01	-	93	88	18d	—	—	+6	11.4	18/1 5%
C&D winner; cheekpieces tried and has to improve again but that looks far from impossible
7 (3)	Queens Fury Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Adrian Murray	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Adrian Murray	128	—	35333	80	95	88	13d	—	—	+11	15.9	20/1 5%
Went off way too quick over 7f at Leopardstown last time; could appreciate the drop back
2 (10)	Irish Ballet Bay J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	128	t	83	-	84	67	28d	—	—	+1	3.7	50/1 2%
Tongue-tie left on here and has more scope for improvement but others looks more likely

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Miss Lamai	evn	11/10	10/11	Evens	11/10
Merrily	11/2	5/1	6/1	5/1	11/2
Shamrock Breeze	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Proudly Yours	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Say Yes To Dreams	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Make Haste	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Skillman Ave	10/1	12/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Amazing Athena	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Queens Fury	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Irish Ballet	33/1	33/1	28/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shamrock Breeze

24.3

OR: 9 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.9

9/1

2nd

Miss Lamai

22.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 14.2

11/10

3rd

Proudly Yours

16.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Queens Fury

15.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.2 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Merrily

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Amazing Athena

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Make Haste

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Say Yes To Dreams

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Irish Ballet

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Skillman Ave

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Proudly Yours	87	94	82
Shamrock Breeze	86	94	84
Queens Fury	80	95	88
Miss Lamai	—	105	89
Merrily	—	94	74
Say Yes To Dreams	—	86	69
Make Haste	—	100	88
Skillman Ave	—	90	84
Amazing Athena	—	93	88
Irish Ballet	—	84	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Queens Fury	13d ago	Quick return
Skillman Ave	18d ago	Fit
Amazing Athena	18d ago	Fit
Shamrock Breeze	21d ago	Fit
Proudly Yours	21d ago	Fit
Merrily	28d ago	Fit
Say Yes To Dreams	28d ago	Fit
Irish Ballet	28d ago	Fit
Miss Lamai	35d ago	Fit
Make Haste	35d ago	Fit