Take A Lucky Dip At BetVictor Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

19:15

Take A Lucky Dip At BetVictor Handicap

Date 2024-07-25

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Winning Time 1m 25.18s (slow by 2.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	State Flag (GB) Trevor Whelan · Tom Ward	8/1	Won
2nd	Chalk Mountain (GB) Rob Hornby · Stuart Kittow	16/1	0.1
3rd	Silent Flame (GB) Ross Coakley · Rod Millman	17/2	0.2
4th	Flying Secret (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	5/1	.5
5th	Beau Jardine (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Rachel Cook & John Bridger	11/2	2
6th	King Cabo (USA) Marco Ghiani · Luke Dace	9/4F	7.5
7th	Hello Zabeel (IRE) Luke Catton · Michael Blake	22/1	1.75
8th	Smouldering (GB) Kevin Stott · Clive Cox	9/2	2.5
9th	Mapogo (GB) William Carson · Mark Pattinson	150/1	9

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	King Cabo b/br J:Marco Ghiani T:Luke Dace	J:Marco Ghiani T:Luke Dace	139	—	379730	72	79	8	75d	—	—	-11	15.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Below par over 6f at Ascot in May but on a workable mark if bouncing back after a break
9 (2)	Smouldering Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Clive Cox	J:Kevin Stott T:Clive Cox	131	—	213	71	82	75	21d	—	—	+4	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
AW winner; close third on 7f handicap debut latest; should go well
5 (3)	Beau Jardine Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Hollie Doyle T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	135	b	-31496	68	82	70	12d	—	—	-1	11.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All three turf wins on soft/heavy; best to look elsewhere unless ground eases
6 (8)	Flying Secret Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	134	tp	6-4967	67	87	62	30d	—	—	-7	8.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner but yet to fire in 2024; new headgear combination needs to help
11 (10)	Silent Flame Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	130	b	905641	63	82	73	14d	—	—	+6	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
6f course win two weeks ago and a 3lb rise looks manageable; considered
8 (7)	State Flag Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	133	—	44-174	73	79	57	21d	—	—	0	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
AW maiden winner; not seen to best effect when fourth in C&D handicap latest; claims
4 (11)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	136	t	2142-8	69	81	60	13d	—	—	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Looked a threat when badly hampered on Chester reappearance; considered
7 (1)	Hello Zabeel Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Michael Blake	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Michael Blake	134	—	568-56	67	83	65	24d	—	—	+1	5.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Not enough in two 6f outings this year to fancy him here
3 (6)	Mapogo Grey J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	137	tp	842000	70	75	31	16d	—	—	+6	6.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Failed to win for George Boughey and tailed off both starts for this yard
NR (9)	Gemini Star Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Alice Haynes	141	—	20-558	74	80	48	49d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Struggled over sprint trips lately and remains to be see whether step up to 7f helps
NR (4)	Willy Campbell Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	131	—	963-8	71	78	27	14d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Some promise last year but well held on 1m2f course handicap debut and reappearance

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
King Cabo	5/2	9/4	9/4
Smouldering	4/1	7/2	4/1
Beau Jardine	5/1	11/2	11/2
Flying Secret	11/2	11/2	11/2
Silent Flame	15/2	15/2	15/2
State Flag	10/1	10/1	9/1
Chalk Mountain	14/1	14/1	14/1
Hello Zabeel	18/1	22/1	22/1
Mapogo	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smouldering

23.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Silent Flame

16.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

King Cabo

15.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

5/2

Beau Jardine

11.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Flying Secret

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

State Flag

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mapogo

6.8

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Chalk Mountain

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gemini Star

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hello Zabeel

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Willy Campbell

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gemini Star	74	80	48
State Flag	73	79	57
King Cabo	72	79	8
Smouldering	71	82	75
Willy Campbell	71	78	27
Mapogo	70	75	31
Chalk Mountain	69	81	60
Beau Jardine	68	82	70
Flying Secret	67	87	62
Hello Zabeel	67	83	65
Silent Flame	63	82	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beau Jardine	12d ago	Quick return
Chalk Mountain	13d ago	Quick return
Silent Flame	14d ago	Fit
Willy Campbell	14d ago	Fit
Mapogo	16d ago	Fit
Smouldering	21d ago	Fit
State Flag	21d ago	Fit
Hello Zabeel	24d ago	Fit
Flying Secret	30d ago	Fit
Gemini Star	49d ago	Fresh
King Cabo	75d ago	Fresh