Quinnbet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Uttoxeter

16:30

Date 2024-07-26

Distance 1m7f168y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £3,921

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Mighty Fleur Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	152	—	2-	-	113	90	93d	—	—	-11	11.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Made very promising debut when clear second over C&D in April; major player
14	Pure Seduction Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	152	—	3-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	13.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Cost £30,000 after making the frame in both Irish points; new yard does well in bumpers
7	Lowlands Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second foal from a well-connected mare; stable has good strike-rate in bumpers
8	Absence Of Malice Chestnut J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	152	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Out of unraced half-sister to bumper/smart jumps winners Pym; stable runs two
1	Back In The Bay Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	156	t	P2-4	-	106	90	25d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Second in big-field Irish point in April and made solid start to rules career this month
2	Cabra Lady Chestnut J:Mr N McParlan(3) T:S McParlan	J:Mr N McParlan(3) T:S McParlan	156	h	43P-23	-	98	56	40d	—	—	-5	1.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran big race before tiring from 2f out when third on rules debut at Downpatrick
3	Eskimo Sam Chestnut J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Out of a hurdle-winning half-sister to two useful hurdlers; market may point the way
5	Keppel Queen Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	156	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
£37,000 3yo; with a good stable but it's unnerving to see blinkers fitted on debut
10	Dance The Moon Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	152	—	4-7	-	98	75	41d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Flopped here last month but this well-bred filly can still build upon her promising debut
4	Grayland Grey Roan J:Nick Scholfield T:Debra Hamer	J:Nick Scholfield T:Debra Hamer	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-sister to a fairly useful 2m chaser; stable 2-20 in bumpers during last five seasons
9	Blackwater Lilly Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Brian Ellison	J:Craig Nichol T:Brian Ellison	152	—	4	-	91	-	19d	—	—	-2	0.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Kept on for very respectable fourth (against males) on debut at Market Rasen this month
13	Polly Pi Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	152	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-sister to connections' low-grade hurdle winner Timassini; market may guide
6	Lily Power Bay J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Mike Sowersby	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
First foal from a 2m5f hurdle/chase winner; stable not known for bumper winners
11	Maritime Mist Bay J:David Bass T:Barry Brennan	J:David Bass T:Barry Brennan	152	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Out of a 5f winner; stable 0-18 in bumpers during last five seasons; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mighty Fleur	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Pure Seduction	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Lowlands	11/2	5/1	5/1	13/2	5/1
Absence Of Malice	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1	17/2
Back In The Bay	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Cabra Lady	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Eskimo Sam	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Keppel Queen	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Dance The Moon	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Grayland	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Blackwater Lilly	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Polly Pi	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Lily Power	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Maritime Mist	150/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pure Seduction

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Mighty Fleur

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Lowlands

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Absence Of Malice

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Back In The Bay

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Cabra Lady

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Eskimo Sam

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Dance The Moon

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Keppel Queen

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Grayland

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Blackwater Lilly

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Polly Pi

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Lily Power

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Maritime Mist

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mighty Fleur	—	113	90
Pure Seduction	—	—	—
Lowlands	—	—	—
Absence Of Malice	—	—	—
Back In The Bay	—	106	90
Cabra Lady	—	98	56
Eskimo Sam	—	—	—
Keppel Queen	—	—	—
Dance The Moon	—	98	75
Grayland	—	—	—
Blackwater Lilly	—	91	—
Polly Pi	—	—	—
Lily Power	—	—	—
Maritime Mist	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blackwater Lilly	19d ago	Fit
Back In The Bay	25d ago	Fit
Cabra Lady	40d ago	Fit
Dance The Moon	41d ago	Fit
Mighty Fleur	93d ago	Long break
Pure Seduction	—	—
Lowlands	—	—
Absence Of Malice	—	—
Eskimo Sam	—	—
Keppel Queen	—	—
Grayland	—	—
Polly Pi	—	—
Lily Power	—	—
Maritime Mist	—	—