Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:55

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-07-29

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 30.07s (slow by 4.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Porfin (IRE) Tyler Heard · Phil McEntee	11/1	Won
2nd	Stella Hogan (IRE) Trevor Whelan · John O'Shea	11/1	0.1
3rd	Lady Wingalong (IRE) Sean D Bowen · David Evans	8/13F	1.75
4th	Diamondsinthesand (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	18/1	2.5
5th	Forgotten Treasure (GB) Brandon Wilkie · William Knight	9/1	1.25
6th	Miss Calculation (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Stella Barclay	14/1	0.2
7th	Comedian Leader (GB) Liam Keniry · Jim & Suzi Best	7/1	0.3
8th	Scarfo (IRE) Harry Russell · John & Sean Quinn	16/1	.75
9th	More Than Likely (GB) Tommie Jakes · Nikki Evans	200/1	7
10th	Wedgewood Sapphire (FR) William Carson · Tony Carroll	40/1	8.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Lady Wingalong Grey J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:David Evans	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:David Evans	139	—	142221	59	74	50	5d	—	—	-15	38.4	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Progressive for new yard & well in under a penalty after an easy turf win last week; solid
5 (7)	Comedian Leader Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Liam Keniry T:Jim & Suzi Best	132	—	586474	52	71	51	39d	—	—	-12	5.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well handicapped and returns to her optimum trip today; one to take seriously
9 (5)	Forgotten Treasure Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	125	—	932013	52	67	55	21d	—	—	+6	15.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D winner last month; solid 3rd over 6f last time; now 5lb higher
3 (3)	Porfin Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	133	p	516226	53	68	48	12d	—	—	+5	10.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
6f turf win last month; placed over 6f/7f here this month; in the mix once again
2 (1)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:John O'Shea	J:Trevor Whelan T:John O'Shea	136	—	-32250	56	69	52	76d	—	—	+2	7.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
In good form on AW over the winter; poor on soft turf in May; better expected today
6 (4)	Miss Calculation Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Stella Barclay	J:Billy Loughnane T:Stella Barclay	130	—	869143	50	66	56	14d	—	—	+4	9.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
7f Catterick win in May; two solid efforts here since; this is a better race though
7 (6)	Scarfo Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	128	—	6-9914	55	65	47	14d	—	—	-3	2.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
C&D win this month followed by a fair 4th one week later; new mark has now kicked in
4 (10)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	133	h	842546	53	70	35	35d	—	—	-1	3.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
C&D win last November but that his only success from 33 attempts; drawn widest; vulnerable
10 (8)	Wedgewood Sapphire Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	124	—	-08415	51	65	27	27d	—	—	+5	8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
7.5f classified win on Lingfield turf last month; not so good at Brighton last time
8 (9)	More Than Likely Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Nikki Evans	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Nikki Evans	127	p	-68385	47	68	51	21d	—	—	+1	1.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Not fired on all cylinders this year and her stamina for 7f remains a concern

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lady Wingalong	8/11	4/7	8/13	8/13	8/13
Comedian Leader	4/1	11/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
Forgotten Treasure	9/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Porfin	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Stella Hogan	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Miss Calculation	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Scarfo	20/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Diamondsinthesand	22/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Wedgewood Sapphire	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
More Than Likely	100/1	100/1	66/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Wingalong

38.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 18.7

8/11

2nd

Forgotten Treasure

15.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

3rd

Porfin

10.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Miss Calculation

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Wedgewood Sapphire

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Stella Hogan

7.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Comedian Leader

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

13/2

Diamondsinthesand

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Scarfo

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

More Than Likely

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Wingalong	59	74	50
Stella Hogan	56	69	52
Scarfo	55	65	47
Porfin	53	68	48
Diamondsinthesand	53	70	35
Comedian Leader	52	71	51
Forgotten Treasure	52	67	55
Wedgewood Sapphire	51	65	27
Miss Calculation	50	66	56
More Than Likely	47	68	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Wingalong	5d ago	Quick return
Porfin	12d ago	Quick return
Miss Calculation	14d ago	Fit
Scarfo	14d ago	Fit
Forgotten Treasure	21d ago	Fit
More Than Likely	21d ago	Fit
Wedgewood Sapphire	27d ago	Fit
Diamondsinthesand	35d ago	Fit
Comedian Leader	39d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	76d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.