Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-07-29

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (7)	Cut To The Chase Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	125	—	80-72	52	65	58	14d	—	—	-13	6.2	7/2 22%
Improved effort when second over C&D two weeks ago; still has time to do better
4 (8)	Oriental Spirit Bay J:Neil Callan T:Stuart Kittow	J:Neil Callan T:Stuart Kittow	132	tp	74-355	52	68	60	12d	—	—	-12	5.7	7/2 22%
Expensive to follow but he's capable at this level and new cheekpieces could help
7 (3)	Amroon Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Marco Botti	J:Billy Loughnane T:Marco Botti	127	t	423243	54	68	63	21d	—	—	-4	13.4	5/1 17%
Series of creditable runs this year, including C&D; should be involved again
5 (6)	Outreach Grey J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	131	p	335761	51	68	60	21d	—	—	+1	14.9	5/1 17%
Both wins over C&D, latterly three weeks ago; up 3lb but more appealing than many
3 (4)	Global Effort Chestnut J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	133	—	061045	53	68	60	5d	—	—	-5	7.1	13/2 13%
6f win here last month but less good three times since, including last week
2 (5)	Bungle Bay Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	135	—	-21219	55	69	61	17d	—	—	+6	18.1	7/1 13%
Two C&D wins in March; quiet on turf 17 days ago but dangerous under these conditions
1 (2)	Rose Fandango Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John O'Shea	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John O'Shea	137	p	971556	57	66	63	35d	—	—	+1	6.4	20/1 5%
Won a match over C&D in April; struggled on turf last twice; down in grade returned to AW
6 (10)	Tom Tulliver Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Scott Dixon	128	b	7438-5	48	67	48	186d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
On a lowly mark but returns from six months off with the widest stall to overcome
10 (1)	Fistral Beach Bay J:Hayley Turner T:John Mackie	J:Hayley Turner T:John Mackie	123	—	52-779	50	62	23	28d	—	—	-1	0.5	50/1 2%
Yet to shine for new yard in 2024 and others come here with more obvious claims
NR (9)	Blacklion Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	124	h	751735	51	-	-	2d	—	—	—	5.4	—
7f Kempton win for J Osborne in May; below par first two runs for new yard; runs 8.00 Sat

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cut To The Chase	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Oriental Spirit	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Amroon	5/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Outreach	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Global Effort	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Bungle Bay	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1
Rose Fandango	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Tom Tulliver	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Fistral Beach	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bungle Bay

18.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Outreach

14.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Amroon

13.4

OR: 1 Form: 7.4 Odds: 5

5/1

Global Effort

7.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Rose Fandango

6.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Cut To The Chase

6.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Oriental Spirit

5.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Blacklion

5.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0

—

Tom Tulliver

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Fistral Beach

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rose Fandango	57	66	63
Bungle Bay	55	69	61
Amroon	54	68	63
Global Effort	53	68	60
Cut To The Chase	52	65	58
Oriental Spirit	52	68	60
Outreach	51	68	60
Blacklion	51	—	—
Fistral Beach	50	62	23
Tom Tulliver	48	67	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blacklion	2d ago	Quick return
Global Effort	5d ago	Quick return
Oriental Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Cut To The Chase	14d ago	Fit
Bungle Bay	17d ago	Fit
Amroon	21d ago	Fit
Outreach	21d ago	Fit
Fistral Beach	28d ago	Fit
Rose Fandango	35d ago	Fit
Tom Tulliver	186d ago	Long break