Golf And Gallop Package Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

17:40

Date 2024-07-29

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Eavestone Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	125	—	3-	-	84	36	222d	—	—	-26	17.2	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Placed behind a subsequent Listed/Group 3 winner on Kempton debut in December; respected
3 (7)	Don Simon Brown J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ed Dunlop	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	5-	-	73	31	268d	—	—	-12	4.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Close fifth in sole 2yo run and he looks a likely improver upped in trip on his return
4 (5)	Legend Of Kings Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	130	—	83	-	82	-	38d	—	—	-7	7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Sets a good standard on his third at Recdcar and he's open to more progress upped to 1m3f
5 (4)	Make Aclaim Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	130	—	2	-	76	-	37d	—	—	-3	8.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ran a big race when a clear second on his Haydock debut (11.6f) last month; in the mix
9 (8)	Sugar Road Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	130	—	4	-	70	-	19d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Eyecatching fourth on Ffos Las debut and he looks interesting over this longer trip
8 (1)	Northern Choice Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Hugo Palmer	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Hugo Palmer	130	t	4	-	77	-	24d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promising fourth on recent Doncaster debut and has claims if he can build on that
1 (6)	Fiery Dawn Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	140	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Went close in a bumper in May and he's respected on this switch to this sphere
10 (3)	Daylight Chorus Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	125	—	43	-	72	42	32d	—	—	0	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Showed promise at Chelmsford last month but she failed to build on that at Nottingham
2 (11)	Samatian Black J:Tom Eaves T:Kim Bailey	J:Tom Eaves T:Kim Bailey	140	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
1-18 over jumps and he's struggled in last three runs; no appeal on belated Flat debut
7 (2)	Mr Nugget Bay J:David Egan T:David Simcock	J:David Egan T:David Simcock	130	—	00	-	47	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Finished a tailed-off last at big prices in two middle-distance events on turf this summer
12 (10)	Tottori Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Adam West	J:Darragh Keenan T:Adam West	125	—	70	-	40	-	13d	—	—	0	0.1	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Tailed off at big prices in both her runs, most recently at Kempton (1m4f, AW) 13 days ago
NR (12)	Meridian Way Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Johnston	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yard 28% with 3yos here in recent years and he needs watching in market on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Eavestone	evn	11/10	10/11	10/11	11/10
Don Simon	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Legend Of Kings	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Make Aclaim	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sugar Road	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Northern Choice	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Fiery Dawn	20/1	18/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Daylight Chorus	22/1	25/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Samatian	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Mr Nugget	100/1	200/1	250/1	200/1	250/1
Tottori	400/1	250/1	250/1	300/1	300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eavestone

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Make Aclaim

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

17/2

3rd

Legend Of Kings

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

13/2

Don Simon

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Daylight Chorus

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Northern Choice

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Sugar Road

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Fiery Dawn

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Samatian

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Mr Nugget

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Tottori

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Meridian Way

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eavestone	—	84	36
Don Simon	—	73	31
Legend Of Kings	—	82	—
Make Aclaim	—	76	—
Sugar Road	—	70	—
Northern Choice	—	77	—
Fiery Dawn	—	—	—
Daylight Chorus	—	72	42
Samatian	—	—	—
Mr Nugget	—	47	—
Tottori	—	40	—
Meridian Way	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Nugget	11d ago	Quick return
Tottori	13d ago	Quick return
Sugar Road	19d ago	Fit
Northern Choice	24d ago	Fit
Daylight Chorus	32d ago	Fit
Make Aclaim	37d ago	Fit
Legend Of Kings	38d ago	Fit
Eavestone	222d ago	Long break
Don Simon	268d ago	Long break
Fiery Dawn	—	—
Samatian	—	—
Meridian Way	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.