Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking Confined Handicap (Horses Which Have Not Won A Race In 2024)

Southwell (AW)

14:15

Date 2024-07-29

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (9)	High Court Judge Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:David Dennis	J:Rob Hornby T:David Dennis	132	p	327254	54	71	58	2d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has claims on his best form this year and he didn't get any luck at Salisbury on Saturday
1 (13)	Hitched Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	140	h	341-45	62	69	-	31d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Had a major blip last time but that was in a tactical race and he could bounce back
2 (1)	Light Up Our Stars Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	140	ht	665735	62	74	55	6d	—	—	-2	8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
On dangerous mark and wasn't beaten far in a Class 5 last week; in the mix
14 (5)	Havana Smoke Grey J:David Egan T:Dylan Cunha	J:David Egan T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	-24835	60	69	35	12d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ten-race maiden who was well held last time and is untried at this trip
6 (12)	Covert Mission Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	138	tp	704983	60	70	61	19d	—	—	-1	8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Turned things around with good third at Kempton and is a big player if he can back that up
10 (3)	Al Baahy Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Frost	J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Frost	136	tp	648647	58	73	50	10d	—	—	-4	4.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Just one win from 30 starts and he's not threatened this season; tongue-tie added
8 (4)	Candy Warhol Bay J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	138	t	032297	60	70	64	28d	—	—	0	9.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-19 but he looks interesting on some close calls at Wolverhampton this year; dangerous
3 (11)	Alexander James Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Michael Herrington	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Michael Herrington	140	tp	893326	62	69	35	19d	—	—	+3	11	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Losing run is up to 17 and his last win was in a seller; others are more persuasive
13 (10)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	130	p	-35257	60	73	39	21d	—	—	0	7.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Eight-race maiden who has been well held last twice and still has stamina to prove at 1m
11 (8)	First Dynasty Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Sam England	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Sam England	136	—	650504	58	68	-	19d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Eye-catching fourth off reduced mark at Catterick and could be dangerous back up in trip
4 (6)	Ballsbridge Bay J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	139	b	3-9026	61	69	31	36d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Inconsistent seven-race maiden who flopped at Pontefract last time; risks attached
9 (14)	Girl From Italy Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Billy Garritty T:Mark Walford	136	—	75-747	58	70	65	13d	—	—	-1	3.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dual Tapeta winner but she needs to rediscover her spark back on AW
5 (7)	Dragons Will Rise Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	138	—	-67706	60	68	25	126d	—	—	+1	3.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Lats win was in March 2022 and has form figures of 7067706 since December
7 (2)	Tayanna Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	138	—	680-67	60	68	39	137d	—	—	+2	2.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Tailed off in both handicaps and has lots to prove for another new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
High Court Judge	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Hitched	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Light Up Our Stars	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Havana Smoke	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Covert Mission	8/1	9/1	8/1	15/2	9/1
Al Baahy	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Candy Warhol	9/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Alexander James	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Miners Gamble	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
First Dynasty	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Ballsbridge	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Girl From Italy	22/1	20/1	20/1	25/1	20/1
Dragons Will Rise	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Tayanna	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alexander James

OR: 3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

2nd

Candy Warhol

9.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.7

10/1

3rd

High Court Judge

8.9

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Havana Smoke

8.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Light Up Our Stars

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Covert Mission

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Miners Gamble

7.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Ballsbridge

7.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Hitched

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Al Baahy

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

First Dynasty

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Girl From Italy

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Dragons Will Rise

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Tayanna

2.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hitched	62	69	—
Light Up Our Stars	62	74	55
Alexander James	62	69	35
Ballsbridge	61	69	31
Havana Smoke	60	69	35
Covert Mission	60	70	61
Candy Warhol	60	70	64
Miners Gamble	60	73	39
Dragons Will Rise	60	68	25
Tayanna	60	68	39
Al Baahy	58	73	50
First Dynasty	58	68	—
Girl From Italy	58	70	65
High Court Judge	54	71	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
High Court Judge	2d ago	Quick return
Light Up Our Stars	6d ago	Quick return
Al Baahy	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	12d ago	Quick return
Girl From Italy	13d ago	Quick return
Covert Mission	19d ago	Fit
Alexander James	19d ago	Fit
First Dynasty	19d ago	Fit
Miners Gamble	21d ago	Fit
Candy Warhol	28d ago	Fit
Hitched	31d ago	Fit
Ballsbridge	36d ago	Fit
Dragons Will Rise	126d ago	Long break
Tayanna	137d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.