IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D)(GBB/IRE Incent' Race) (Div II)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:17

Date 2024-08-06

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (1)	Green Icon b J:Tom Marquand T:Owen Burrows	J:Tom Marquand T:Owen Burrows	133	—	6	-	64	-	40d	—	—	-38	20	8/15 65%
Nottingham effort suggests he'll relish this step up to 6f; warrants respect
5 (2)	Louie The Legend b J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	133	—	4	-	58	10	40d	—	—	-8	3.3	17/2 11%
Made the frame at Newcastle; the form is modest but he may do better
7 (7)	Nebrook Dream b J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	10/1 9%
£11,000 yearling; stable has modest strike-rate in British 2yo races this year
1 (8)	City Captain b J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	16/1 6%
Aclaim half-brother to four winners; one of numerous newcomers in the field
2 (5)	Cuban Star gr J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jack Jones	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jack Jones	133	—	5	-	49	-	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	18/1 5%
Made late headway over 6f at Chepstow; open to improvement upped in trip
9 (10)	No Release b J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed Dunlop	J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	18/1 5%
11,000gns yearling; stable has a fairly respectable record with 2yos here; interesting
3 (3)	Elmast b J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	22/1 4%
37,000gns yearling, 5,000gns (breeze-up) 2yo; yard is 1-30 with 2yos this term
10 (11)	Silver Puca gr J:Adam Farragher T:Jamie Osborne	J:Adam Farragher T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	22/1 4%
5,000euros foal, 10,000euros yearling; one of two newcomers for this yard
11 (13)	Top Biller b J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
8,000gns yearling; stablemate of Due Diligence; the betting should help
12 (9)	Besos De Lejos b J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
Australia filly; yard has a very low strike-rate with 2yos
13 (4)	Nora Barnacle b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	—	-	43	20	27d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Has the worst form claims among the runners with experience
8 (12)	Nimble Nasher ch J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
1,000gns yearling; by Mayson; yard is 0-12 with 2yos this season
NR (6)	Metro Dubai b J:Tom Marquand T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Tom Marquand T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	v	29	-	79	-	45d	—	—	—	3.5	—
Seemingly not straightforward but sets the standard back down in class

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Green Icon	4/9	1/2	4/9	8/15	1/2
Louie The Legend	17/2	15/2	7/1	8/1	15/2
Nebrook Dream	10/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	9/1
City Captain	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Cuban Star	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
No Release	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Elmast	18/1	20/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Silver Puca	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Top Biller	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Besos De Lejos	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Nora Barnacle	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	125/1
Nimble Nasher	200/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Green Icon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Metro Dubai

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Louie The Legend

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Nebrook Dream

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

City Captain

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Cuban Star

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

No Release

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Elmast

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Silver Puca

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Top Biller

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Besos De Lejos

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Nora Barnacle

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Nimble Nasher

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Green Icon	—	64	—
Louie The Legend	—	58	10
Nebrook Dream	—	—	—
City Captain	—	—	—
Cuban Star	—	49	—
No Release	—	—	—
Elmast	—	—	—
Silver Puca	—	—	—
Top Biller	—	—	—
Besos De Lejos	—	—	—
Nora Barnacle	—	43	20
Nimble Nasher	—	—	—
Metro Dubai	—	79	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cuban Star	11d ago	Quick return
Nora Barnacle	27d ago	Fit
Green Icon	40d ago	Fit
Louie The Legend	40d ago	Fit
Metro Dubai	45d ago	Fit
Nebrook Dream	—	—
City Captain	—	—
No Release	—	—
Elmast	—	—
Silver Puca	—	—
Top Biller	—	—
Besos De Lejos	—	—
Nimble Nasher	—	—