Kepak Handicap Chase – Roscommon

Roscommon

19:30

Kepak Handicap Chase

Date 2024-08-06

Distance 2m5f147y

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Kilashee Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:John Patrick Ryan	164	—	103111	98	101	90	14d	—	—	+23	39.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
In rude health and on a four timer; career-best needed but not impossible; rain a negative
7	Gaelic Des Chastys Chestnut J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	157	h	/56-12	91	103	102	11d	—	—	+2	13.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In top form for new yard; solid second at Kilbeggan on handicap chase debut, rain a worry
1	Conron Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	168	—	8P/6-4	102	110	90	35d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Solid effort in beginners chase last time, this trip should suit, chance
9	A Nod To Getaway Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul O'Flynn	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul O'Flynn	154	tp	34-145	88	98	42	35d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	11.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In decent form; promise on chase debut last time, stamina doubts at this trip
3	On My Bike Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	165	p	-1U427	99	89	5	14d	—	—	+13	19	3.00/1	12/1 8%
1-14 over hurdles, poor last time, handicap chase debut, watch market; cheekpieces on.
R17	Brandt Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	156	h	45-7U4	90	108	65	66d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
First run for new yard, ran okay on last start, best watched in first time hood; reserve
12	Man Of The House Brown J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	146	b	0U-P66	80	103	81	24d	—	—	+3	9.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-12 under Rules, promise last two chase starts, chance if building on those; blinkers
15	Likable Chancer Bay J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Daniel John Howard	J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Daniel John Howard	144	tp	32-86P	78	112	41	11d	—	—	+2	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Out of form last few runs, connections reach for tongue tie and cheekpieces
6	O'Faolains Glory Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	163	v	2-1359	97	104	95	17d	—	—	+11	17	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won at Downpatrick in May; 2lb lower here with jockey's claim, could bounce back in visor
13	Robin De Roost Brown J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:Thomas Gibney	145	t	/7P-14	79	113	93	35d	—	—	+3	9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Veteran won at Downpatrick in June, just 2lb higher here; needs rain to stay away
16	Clyde The Glide Chestnut J:Miss L Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	J:Miss L Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	140	t	0-8680	74	106	64	18d	—	—	+3	7.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Yet to win a race, mild promise at Limerick in May, hard to make a winning case for him
5	How Decc b/br J:Philip Donovan(5) T:E Seymour	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:E Seymour	163	tp	P-6P93	97	107	-	11d	—	—	+9	12.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Maiden; okay over hurdles last time, hard to fancy on handicap chase debut; cheekpieces
2	Lake Chad Grey J:Niall Moore(7) T:Philip Fenton	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Philip Fenton	165	—	7-9U20	99	109	100	24d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+10	13	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hard to win with (2-47), made mistakes and ended up in rear over C&D on latest
10	Hees Dynamite Bay J:Mark McDonagh T:E McNamara	J:Mark McDonagh T:E McNamara	150	t	0P4-99	84	98	-	13d	—	—	+6	9.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-9, out the back on handicap chase debut, tongue tie back on but hard to fancy
14	Greenway Machine Bay J:Cian Cullinan(7) T:Ms Helen P Markham	J:Cian Cullinan(7) T:Ms Helen P Markham	144	—	55-417	78	106	-	52d	—	—	+5	7.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won off 73 at Tramore, poor last time off revised mark, not well treated
8	The Eye Of Tulla Bay J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Brian M McMahon	J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Brian M McMahon	156	b	751-0P	90	110	-	13d	—	—	+8	10.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Out of form last two runs, return to right handed track a plus, 6lb higher than last win
NR	Cullenwaine Chestnut J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	149	p	0-5215	83	96	-	22d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
In good form over hurdles, jumped poorly on last chase start, rain a negative; cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kilashee	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Gaelic Des Chastys	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Conron	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
A Nod To Getaway	10/1	10/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
On My Bike	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Brandt	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Man Of The House	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Likable Chancer	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
O'Faolains Glory	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Robin De Roost	16/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Clyde The Glide	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
How Decc	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Lake Chad	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Hees Dynamite	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Greenway Machine	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
The Eye Of Tulla	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kilashee

39.9

OR: 12 Form: 22.9 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

On My Bike

OR: 12.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

O'Faolains Glory

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Conron

16.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Gaelic Des Chastys

13.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Lake Chad

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

How Decc

12.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Brandt

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

A Nod To Getaway

11.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

The Eye Of Tulla

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Man Of The House

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Hees Dynamite

9.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Robin De Roost

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Likable Chancer

8.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cullenwaine

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Greenway Machine

7.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Clyde The Glide

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Conron	102	110	90
On My Bike	99	89	5
Lake Chad	99	109	100
Kilashee	98	101	90
O'Faolains Glory	97	104	95
How Decc	97	107	—
Gaelic Des Chastys	91	103	102
Brandt	90	108	65
The Eye Of Tulla	90	110	—
A Nod To Getaway	88	98	42
Hees Dynamite	84	98	—
Cullenwaine	83	96	—
Man Of The House	80	103	81
Robin De Roost	79	113	93
Likable Chancer	78	112	41
Greenway Machine	78	106	—
Clyde The Glide	74	106	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gaelic Des Chastys	11d ago	Quick return
Likable Chancer	11d ago	Quick return
How Decc	11d ago	Quick return
Hees Dynamite	13d ago	Quick return
The Eye Of Tulla	13d ago	Quick return
Kilashee	14d ago	Fit
On My Bike	14d ago	Fit
O'Faolains Glory	17d ago	Fit
Clyde The Glide	18d ago	Fit
Cullenwaine	22d ago	Fit
Man Of The House	24d ago	Fit
Lake Chad	24d ago	Fit
Conron	35d ago	Fit
A Nod To Getaway	35d ago	Fit
Robin De Roost	35d ago	Fit
Greenway Machine	52d ago	Fresh
Brandt	66d ago	Fresh