Connolly's Red Mills Handicap Hurdle – Roscommon

Roscommon

18:30

Connolly's Red Mills Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-08-06

Distance 2m7f213y

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Hypersonic Missile Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	164	p	89-322	104	110	78	31d	—	—	+3	17.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Recent second placings over 2m5f put him in the mix but yet to fully prove his stamina
6	Menindee Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	165	t	71P8-2	105	105	80	12d	—	—	+9	22.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Winning chaser here last year; recent hurdles comeback second augurs well
4	Hunting Brook Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	tb	7P5-22	106	111	70	81d	—	—	+4	18	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Solid stayer, in good form when last seen in May; major player
11	Dinoland Bay J:Alex Harvey(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(7) T:John C McConnell	162	tv	P-2P21	102	112	96	17d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Cartmel winner remains on a fair mark so shortlisted with rider's claim a positive
5	Solly Attwell Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	166	—	73-13B	106	111	71	2d	—	—	+7	16.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improvement of late over staying trips but brought down early at Galway on Sunday
14	Dr Val Bay J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:E Sheehy	J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:E Sheehy	156	v	5-PP93	96	111	77	12d	—	—	+5	13.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Recent Wexford third a welcome return to form; change of headgear here; considered
7	Housemartin Grey J:Phillip Enright T:E J O'Grady	J:Phillip Enright T:E J O'Grady	164	t	120-04	104	112	86	30d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Looked to have this distance in his range last time; likely softer ground will suit too
10	Bigz Belief Bay J:James Smith(7) T:Matthew J Smith	J:James Smith(7) T:Matthew J Smith	162	tp	5P-457	102	109	81	—	—	—	+9	14.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hurdle wins over much shorter trips; obvious stamina concerns now upped markedly in trip
15	Squire Ohara Bay J:Daniel King T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Daniel King T:Mrs C O'Leary	153	t	P5-5P6	93	106	68	35d	—	—	+6	12.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Maiden back hurdling here after two moderate runs over fences; hard to fancy
9	Duty Bound Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:J P Flavin	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:J P Flavin	163	t	8-9064	103	106	72	14d	—	—	+9	14.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ballinrobe run encouraging but stamina remains unproven at this trip
12	Getabelle Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	162	p	5211-P	102	107	82	56d	—	—	+10	14.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Progressive last autumn; poor comeback run, now upped in trip with cheekpieces tried
R17	Mustameet Secret Bay J:Mr E Finegan(7) T:Hugh Paul Finegan	J:Mr E Finegan(7) T:Hugh Paul Finegan	152	p	24-747	92	111	104	30d	—	—	+8	11.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Second over 3m2f at Sligo last autumn, well held in similar contest latest; reserve
2	Wa Wa Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Dermot A McLoughlin	168	tp	008-7P	108	107	63	57d	—	—	+12	15.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dual chase winner out of form so far this year and hard to be confident in
3	Quite Incredible Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	167	p	700-18	107	110	93	52d	—	—	+12	15.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second runner for yard and a more obvious chance on 2m6f Downpatrick win two starts back
13	Fill The Tank Brown J:Mark McDonagh T:Aengus King	J:Mark McDonagh T:Aengus King	159	p	4P-0PP	99	110	64	13d	—	—	+10	13.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dual winner here; below best of late but can't be ruled out given his record here
16	The Rebel County Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	148	—	009	92	102	62	65d	—	—	+8	11.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three qualifying maiden runs over shorter trips; marked step up in trip for handicap debut
NR	Riggs Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	168	p	48P-PP	108	111	-	13d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Formerly useful stayer for the Skeltons in Britain but regressive and hard to fancy
NR	Il Silenzio Bay J:TBC T:Martin Brassil	J: T:Martin Brassil	151	t	8/00-7	91	100	50	59d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Initial handicap attempts modest; needs to improve plenty for this longer trip; reserve
NR	Kincade Chestnut J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	150	—	48/08	90	79	37	—	—	—	—	10	—	—
Hasn't shown much in 4 attempts hurdling; step up in trip in second handicap; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hypersonic Missile	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Menindee	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Hunting Brook	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Dinoland	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Solly Attwell	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Dr Val	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Housemartin	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Bigz Belief	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Squire Ohara	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Duty Bound	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Getabelle	16/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Mustameet Secret	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Wa Wa	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Quite Incredible	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Fill The Tank	28/1	25/1	20/1	25/1	28/1
The Rebel County	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Menindee

22.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Hunting Brook

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Hypersonic Missile

17.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Solly Attwell

16.7

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dinoland

16.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Housemartin

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Wa Wa

15.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Quite Incredible

15.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Duty Bound

14.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Bigz Belief

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Riggs

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Getabelle

14.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Dr Val

13.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Fill The Tank

13.2

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Squire Ohara

12.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Mustameet Secret

11.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

The Rebel County

11.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Il Silenzio

10.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kincade

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wa Wa	108	107	63
Riggs	108	111	—
Quite Incredible	107	110	93
Hunting Brook	106	111	70
Solly Attwell	106	111	71
Menindee	105	105	80
Hypersonic Missile	104	110	78
Housemartin	104	112	86
Duty Bound	103	106	72
Dinoland	102	112	96
Bigz Belief	102	109	81
Getabelle	102	107	82
Fill The Tank	99	110	64
Dr Val	96	111	77
Squire Ohara	93	106	68
Mustameet Secret	92	111	104
The Rebel County	92	102	62
Il Silenzio	91	100	50
Kincade	90	79	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Solly Attwell	2d ago	Quick return
Menindee	12d ago	Quick return
Dr Val	12d ago	Quick return
Fill The Tank	13d ago	Quick return
Riggs	13d ago	Quick return
Duty Bound	14d ago	Fit
Dinoland	17d ago	Fit
Housemartin	30d ago	Fit
Mustameet Secret	30d ago	Fit
Hypersonic Missile	31d ago	Fit
Squire Ohara	35d ago	Fit
Quite Incredible	52d ago	Fresh
Getabelle	56d ago	Fresh
Wa Wa	57d ago	Fresh
Il Silenzio	59d ago	Fresh
The Rebel County	65d ago	Fresh
Hunting Brook	81d ago	Fresh
Bigz Belief	—	—
Kincade	—	—