Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Thirsk

14:10

Date 2024-08-09

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Harmonia Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	136	—	67721	66	74	66	16d	—	—	-3	26.4	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Improved since going handicapping; off the mark last time (7f); up 8lb; not out of it
6 (1)	Rose Of New Jersey Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	132	—	874	62	68	45	20d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Staying-on 4th in 5f maiden last time; improvement expected at 7f on h'cap debut; chance
7 (8)	Greek Gift Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	130	—	70515	60	69	58	24d	—	—	0	13.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Off the mark on nursery debut (good); not so good on soft ground latest; could bounce back
9 (4)	Shielas Well Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	126	—	7852	56	70	65	16d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Best run to date when 3.25l 2nd to Hamonia on nursery debut; a possible
8 (6)	Endeavouryourdream Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	460	60	65	35	14d	—	—	-3	4.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ordinary form so far (beaten over 14l over 7f latest); may do better now handicapping
3 (11)	Realise The Dream Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	136	—	879	66	65	51	41d	—	—	0	5.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Modest efforts so far (beaten over 14l last time); needs to improve now gong handicapping
5 (9)	Deal Maker Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Johnston	J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	303844	63	69	56	17d	—	—	0	5.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Beat a very useful filly when winning on debut (5f, AW); may improve on first run over 7f
4 (7)	Aye Up Lass Brown J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	133	—	608	63	65	48	54d	—	—	0	4.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well beaten so far (beaten nearly 8l last time) but could improve now going handicapping
2 (3)	Sopelana Bay J:David Allan T:George Scott	J:David Allan T:George Scott	136	p	6868	66	65	46	19d	—	—	+1	5.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best run when sixth of 8 in Yarmouth maiden; may improve on nursery debut with headgear on
11 (2)	I Can Boogy Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	120	—	077	50	69	38	36d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well beaten so far; lowly-rated for nursery debut and quite interesting on first try at 7f
10 (5)	Capturethemoment Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	122	—	960	52	65	54	19d	—	—	0	0.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well beaten on her three starts so far; likely improver now going handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Harmonia	2/1	2/1	7/4	85/40	2/1
Rose Of New Jersey	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Greek Gift	11/2	6/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Shielas Well	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Endeavouryourdream	12/1	10/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Realise The Dream	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Deal Maker	16/1	14/1	14/1	20/1	14/1
Aye Up Lass	22/1	22/1	22/1	16/1	22/1
Sopelana	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
I Can Boogy	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Capturethemoment	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Harmonia

26.4

OR: 4 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8.9

85/40

2nd

Greek Gift

13.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Shielas Well

10.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Rose Of New Jersey

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Deal Maker

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Realise The Dream

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Sopelana

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Endeavouryourdream

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Aye Up Lass

4.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

I Can Boogy

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Capturethemoment

0.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harmonia	66	74	66
Realise The Dream	66	65	51
Sopelana	66	65	46
Deal Maker	63	69	56
Aye Up Lass	63	65	48
Rose Of New Jersey	62	68	45
Greek Gift	60	69	58
Endeavouryourdream	60	65	35
Shielas Well	56	70	65
Capturethemoment	52	65	54
I Can Boogy	50	69	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Endeavouryourdream	14d ago	Fit
Harmonia	16d ago	Fit
Shielas Well	16d ago	Fit
Deal Maker	17d ago	Fit
Sopelana	19d ago	Fit
Capturethemoment	19d ago	Fit
Rose Of New Jersey	20d ago	Fit
Greek Gift	24d ago	Fit
I Can Boogy	36d ago	Fit
Realise The Dream	41d ago	Fit
Aye Up Lass	54d ago	Fresh