Scottish Sun Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

8:15

Scottish Sun Handicap

Date 2024-08-10

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (5)	Sir Garfield b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	130	b	80-412	64	76	70	20d	—	—	-15	11.5	11/4 27%
Improver who won at Catterick last month before a close second at Redcar; key player
3 (7)	Jonny Concrete b J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	138	p	-42343	72	76	68	21d	—	—	+1	15.9	9/2 18%
Record of 0-8 and he needs to find something extra back in trip; cheekpieces added
10 (8)	Braes Of Doune b J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	124	p	-22342	52	77	65	19d	—	—	0	13.1	11/2 15%
Course winner who went very close over C&D last time; big player again off only 1lb higher
2 (10)	Vince Le Prince b J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	139	tp	-26135	67	75	70	14d	—	—	+2	16.4	13/2 13%
In-form 4yo who ran well from tough draw at Chester latest; respected back in grade
5 (3)	King's Crown b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	136	p	925650	64	76	63	21d	—	—	-6	8.5	11/2 15%
Sole win was in May 2022 and he's been well over 7f last twice; down the list
1 (2)	Little Muddy b J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	140	—	7-3477	68	75	66	52d	—	—	0	6.1	12/1 8%
Her form has gone the wrong way this season and her only previous run at 7f was in 2021
6 (6)	John L Sullivan b J:Tom Eaves T:Lucinda Russell	J:Tom Eaves T:Lucinda Russell	132	t	-85214	66	78	66	52d	—	—	+9	15.1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced 3yo and he could find more progress back at this trip; in the mix
4 (9)	Apocalyx b J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	136	p	28-99	70	73	37	29d	—	—	+2	6.1	22/1 4%
Still unexposed but he needs a transformation back in trip; cheekpieces added
9 (1)	Zebra Star gr J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:R Mike Smith	125	—	179880	53	74	52	19d	—	—	-1	1.2	40/1 2%
Made all over C&D in May but she's struggled here since then; needs a major turnaround
7 (4)	Colour Code br J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	131	h	-25704	65	71	-	77d	—	—	+4	5.1	66/1 1%
Seven-race maiden who has finished last in her last three runs; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sir Garfield	9/4	9/4	2/1	11/4	9/4
Jonny Concrete	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Braes Of Doune	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Vince Le Prince	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
King's Crown	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Little Muddy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
John L Sullivan	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Apocalyx	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	22/1
Zebra Star	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Colour Code	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vince Le Prince

16.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Jonny Concrete

15.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

John L Sullivan

15.1

OR: 4 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Braes Of Doune

13.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sir Garfield

11.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

King's Crown

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 1 Odds: 4

11/2

Little Muddy

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Apocalyx

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Colour Code

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Zebra Star

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jonny Concrete Top Rated	72	76	68
Apocalyx	70	73	37
Little Muddy	68	75	66
Vince Le Prince	67	75	70
John L Sullivan	66	78	66
Colour Code	65	71	—
Sir Garfield	64	76	70
King's Crown	64	76	63
Zebra Star	53	74	52
Braes Of Doune	52	77	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vince Le Prince	14d ago	Fit
Braes Of Doune	19d ago	Fit
Zebra Star	19d ago	Fit
Sir Garfield	20d ago	Fit
Jonny Concrete	21d ago	Fit
King's Crown	21d ago	Fit
Apocalyx	29d ago	Fit
Little Muddy	52d ago	Fresh
John L Sullivan	52d ago	Fresh
Colour Code	77d ago	Fresh