Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

14:45

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-08-12

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Fior Di Bosco Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	136	—	335	69	79	-	23d	—	—	-11	16.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Improved effort at Newbury last time and she's bred to be better than her opening mark
10 (5)	Never Mind Me Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Andrew Balding	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Andrew Balding	130	v	-57262	63	78	55	12d	—	—	-2	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-6 but ran well for second at Sandown last time; up 2lb but more to come & AW no problem
8 (4)	Tribal Chief Bay J:Harry Davies T:David Menuisier	J:Harry Davies T:David Menuisier	132	t	858163	65	82	50	39d	—	—	-2	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Winning handicap debut at Nottingham in June; excuses since; still capable of better
1 (2)	Mbappe Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	137	—	-14141	70	75	59	13d	—	—	+14	25.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3-5 for new yard this year; up 6lb for winning a modest Class 5 on turf last month
7 (3)	Maith An Farhh Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	134	—	659-	67	71	-	289d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Likely improver now handicapping over 1m; betting to guide after an absence
6 (7)	Daymer Bay Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	134	—	-74562	67	77	47	14d	—	—	+3	11.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Exposed maiden; good second at Wolverhampton two weeks ago but this looks tougher
11 (1)	More Than A Feelin Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	h	453012	61	76	32	14d	—	—	+11	17.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Comes here on the up but this may prove too competitive
12 (11)	Sorontar Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Heather Main	J:Kevin Stott T:Heather Main	127	t	964	60	73	42	129d	—	—	0	3.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Clear promise in three AW maidens; moves into handicaps with more to come
9 (10)	Tactical Control Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	132	t	524-85	65	74	38	—	—	—	+2	4.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
No impact Flat or hurdles for new yard; now tongue tied but still unconvincing
13 (8)	Golden Arc Bay J:David Egan T:Amanda Perrett	J:David Egan T:Amanda Perrett	123	—	0-6860	56	75	36	21d	—	—	+1	1.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Out the back in two handicap runs last month; down 8lb but others have more obvious claims
NR (12)	Milliterries Bay J:TBC T:James Fanshawe	J: T:James Fanshawe	137	—	53-255	70	78	58	25d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Yet to build on her promising handicap debut but still early days and may do better
NR (9)	Onthemoneyhoney Bay J:TBC T:Clive Cox	J: T:Clive Cox	136	—	00-784	69	74	-	32d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Not kicked on in handicaps but still has time & yard's record in this race piques interest
NR (13)	New Kings Road Bay J:TBC T:Richard Hannon	J: T:Richard Hannon	136	—	313661	69	78	63	9d	—	—	—	17.7	—	—
Dictated a slow pace when winning a four-runner race nine days ago; this is tougher

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fior Di Bosco	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
Never Mind Me	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tribal Chief	4/1	7/2	4/1	10/3	7/2
Mbappe	15/2	15/2	15/2	6/1	15/2
Maith An Farhh	11/1	9/1	9/1	12/1	11/1
Daymer Bay	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
More Than A Feelin	11/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Sorontar	28/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Tactical Control	28/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Golden Arc	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mbappe

25.1

OR: 5 Form: 17 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

New Kings Road

17.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0

—

3rd

More Than A Feelin

17.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Tribal Chief

17.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Fior Di Bosco

16.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Never Mind Me

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Daymer Bay

11.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Maith An Farhh

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Milliterries

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Onthemoneyhoney

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tactical Control

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sorontar

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Golden Arc

1.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mbappe	70	75	59
Milliterries	70	78	58
Fior Di Bosco	69	79	—
Onthemoneyhoney	69	74	—
New Kings Road	69	78	63
Maith An Farhh	67	71	—
Daymer Bay	67	77	47
Tribal Chief	65	82	50
Tactical Control	65	74	38
Never Mind Me	63	78	55
More Than A Feelin	61	76	32
Sorontar	60	73	42
Golden Arc	56	75	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
New Kings Road	9d ago	Quick return
Never Mind Me	12d ago	Quick return
Mbappe	13d ago	Quick return
Daymer Bay	14d ago	Fit
More Than A Feelin	14d ago	Fit
Golden Arc	21d ago	Fit
Fior Di Bosco	23d ago	Fit
Milliterries	25d ago	Fit
Onthemoneyhoney	32d ago	Fit
Tribal Chief	39d ago	Fit
Sorontar	129d ago	Long break
Maith An Farhh	289d ago	Long break
Tactical Control	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.