Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:35

Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-08-12

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 21.13s (slow by 3.23s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Alacrity (GB) Kevin Stott · Andrew Balding	3/1F	Won
2nd	Carpathian (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	9/2	0.3
3rd	Umbria (GER) Callum Hutchinson · Ed Walker	5/1	0.3
4th	Maritime Lady (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · James Owen	6/1	4.75
5th	Cakewalk (IRE) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	17/2	3.5
6th	Gold Aura (GB) Rossa Ryan · Jack Jones	4/1	5
7th	Tambourine Dream (GB) Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	16/1	2.5
8th	Pink Lily (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	28/1	1
9th	Autumn's Breeze (IRE) Finley Marsh · Gary & Josh Moore	40/1	1
10th	At A Pinch (GB) Jonny Peate · Toby Lawes	40/1	7

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Gold Aura Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	141	h	333225	67	76	37	46d	—	—	-2	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Rare blip on fast turf latest; fully exposed now, however, and vulnerable to improvers
7 (5)	Carpathian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	-36253	68	71	21	25d	—	—	-2	15.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Placed in three of her five handicaps this summer; needs more but the longer trip can help
6 (11)	Alacrity Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Andrew Balding	J:Kevin Stott T:Andrew Balding	133	—	51-448	68	72	20	38d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Not lived up to market prominence so far this year; early days but needs to bounce back
5 (10)	Maritime Lady Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	134	p	234361	69	72	20	19d	—	—	+5	21.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark tried in cheekpieces at Leicester last month (1m4f); could yet rate higher
9 (6)	Umbria Grey J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	131	—	91	66	71	6	43d	—	—	+6	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well placed when winning a Wolverhampton novice (9.5f) in June; unexposed & can do better
8 (4)	Cakewalk Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	132	—	5878	67	67	35	21d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Beaten favourite on handicap debut at Beverley three weeks ago; still has time on her side
11 (1)	Tambourine Dream Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	129	h	5-5928	64	71	51	14d	—	—	-1	5.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Needs to bounce back from a poor run at Wolverhampton but that's possible over a new trip
2 (9)	Pink Lily Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	142	—	331148	68	72	33	28d	—	—	+5	16.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Five wins at up to 1m2f; below par latest but this is weaker; stamina not assured
1 (8)	At A Pinch Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Toby Lawes	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Toby Lawes	144	hp	210/7-	70	-	-	—	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner for the Gosdens in 2021; regressive hurdler this year; risky back on the Flat
12 (7)	Autumn's Breeze Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Finley Marsh T:Gary & Josh Moore	127	—	877	62	67	27	27d	—	—	+2	3.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Potential improver now handicapping but she's not obviously ahead of her opening mark
NR (12)	Measured Moments Bay J:TBC T:John Butler	J: T:John Butler	137	—	406362	63	77	44	25d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
On a good mark; ran well at Leicester last month and returning to AW no bother; e-w shout
NR (2)	Bittalemon Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	b	6533	65	69	58	14d	—	—	—	8.9	—	—
No improvement on recent handicap debut (1m6f, Tapeta); connections now turn to blinkers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gold Aura	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Carpathian	9/2	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Alacrity	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Maritime Lady	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Umbria	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Cakewalk	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Tambourine Dream	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Pink Lily	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
At A Pinch	28/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Autumn's Breeze	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maritime Lady

21.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Gold Aura

17.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Umbria

17.1

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Pink Lily

16.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.1

22/1

Carpathian

15.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Measured Moments

9.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Alacrity

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Bittalemon

8.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0

—

Cakewalk

6.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

At A Pinch

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Tambourine Dream

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Autumn's Breeze

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
At A Pinch	70	—	—
Maritime Lady	69	72	20
Carpathian	68	71	21
Alacrity	68	72	20
Pink Lily	68	72	33
Gold Aura	67	76	37
Cakewalk	67	67	35
Umbria	66	71	6
Bittalemon	65	69	58
Tambourine Dream	64	71	51
Measured Moments	63	77	44
Autumn's Breeze	62	67	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tambourine Dream	14d ago	Fit
Bittalemon	14d ago	Fit
Maritime Lady	19d ago	Fit
Cakewalk	21d ago	Fit
Carpathian	25d ago	Fit
Measured Moments	25d ago	Fit
Autumn's Breeze	27d ago	Fit
Pink Lily	28d ago	Fit
Alacrity	38d ago	Fit
Umbria	43d ago	Fit
Gold Aura	46d ago	Fresh
At A Pinch	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.