Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap – Cork

Cork

17:52

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Date 2024-08-16

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Kailasa Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	129	—	42331	78	91	83	27d	—	—	+10	27.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Saw her consistency rewarded when a defeat of 13 rivals in a 7f maiden at the Curragh
4 (9)	Profit Refused Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	135	—	6-7835	84	89	73	27d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Not far away in a premier handicap last time and this longer trip is a better fit
5 (11)	Anvika Chestnut J:W J Lee T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:W J Lee T:Ms Sheila Lavery	134	—	1-6716	83	91	55	36d	—	—	+5	19.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Career best when landing a Limerick 7f handicap and plenty went wrong at Leopardstown
3 (8)	National Lady Brown J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	135	—	-21410	84	90	58	23d	—	—	+12	22.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Progressive handicapper; could have run better in a Listed race last time out
10 (10)	Back Down Under Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Padraig Roche	128	—	-34515	77	89	79	26d	—	—	+8	16.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Returns to her best trip after being ridden to get the mile last time (didn't threaten)
2 (7)	Independent Expert Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	139	—	182917	83	90	56	15d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+11	19	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Five-time winner but now exposed and others might be better in
9 (3)	Salah Belle Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	129	—	1-8175	78	93	71	40d	—	—	+8	16.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran okay in a rated race the last time and going that bit further this evening can help
7 (5)	Serialise Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	131	—	0-1628	80	91	51	36d	—	—	+2	9.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Raced wide last time; good chance on her previous run behind Back Down Under
11 (1)	Linger For Longer Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Augustine Leahy	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Augustine Leahy	128	—	0-5011	72	90	82	40d	—	—	+1	7.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a hat-trick; looks closely matched with Salah Belle on these revised terms
6 (2)	Elinor Dashwood b/br J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	132	h	405148	81	88	54	16d	—	—	+10	14	5.50/1	22/1 4%
6lb higher than for recent Gowran win but forget Galway as she slipped on exiting stalls
1 (4)	Gunzburg Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	140	—	7-5308	89	91	89	41d	—	—	+6	11.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Placed in a 7f Curragh handicap in May but beneath that level since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kailasa	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Profit Refused	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Anvika	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
National Lady	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Back Down Under	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Independent Expert	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1
Salah Belle	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Serialise	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Linger For Longer	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Elinor Dashwood	22/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Gunzburg	16/1	18/1	14/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kailasa

27.1

OR: 7 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

National Lady

22.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 11 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

Anvika

19.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Independent Expert

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Back Down Under

16.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Salah Belle

16.2

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Elinor Dashwood

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Profit Refused

12.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Gunzburg

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Serialise

9.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Linger For Longer

7.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gunzburg	89	91	89
Profit Refused	84	89	73
National Lady	84	90	58
Anvika	83	91	55
Independent Expert	83	90	56
Elinor Dashwood	81	88	54
Serialise	80	91	51
Kailasa	78	91	83
Salah Belle	78	93	71
Back Down Under	77	89	79
Linger For Longer	72	90	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Independent Expert	15d ago	Fit
Elinor Dashwood	16d ago	Fit
National Lady	23d ago	Fit
Back Down Under	26d ago	Fit
Kailasa	27d ago	Fit
Profit Refused	27d ago	Fit
Anvika	36d ago	Fit
Serialise	36d ago	Fit
Salah Belle	40d ago	Fit
Linger For Longer	40d ago	Fit
Gunzburg	41d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Independent Expert	Mid-Pack
Back Down Under	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.