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Newbury

16:55

Date 2024-08-16

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (9)	Double Red Grey J:Morgan Cole T:Henry Candy	J:Morgan Cole T:Henry Candy	128	—	70-638	63	76	59	32d	—	—	-9	8.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Rallying third at Newbury (1m, good to firm) on penultimate start; 1m2f makes some appeal
2 (3)	Eagle Eyed Tom Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) T:Mark Loughnane	142	—	10-433	70	75	51	15d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Close third at Nottingham (1m2f, good to firm) 15 days ago on debut for new yard
4 (4)	Snapcracklepop Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Kaiya Fraser T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	138	—	98-421	66	76	69	72d	—	—	-5	7.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Down the weights prior to a revival on last two starts, short-head win over 1m2f on latest
3 (2)	Carp Kid Bay J:Ethan Jones(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Ethan Jones(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	140	p	294717	68	76	66	21d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-11 at Newbury and ran poorly in this last year but plenty of others were good efforts
6 (1)	Typical Woman Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	137	p	37-055	65	79	51	23d	—	—	-3	6.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Best show this term latest, in only fifth of seven but she's lurking on a career-low mark
11 (6)	Beach Point Brown J:Brandon Wilkie T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie T:William Knight	132	p	124514	67	80	67	22d	—	—	+4	15.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two wins and two 2nds from six turf races this season; front-running did not work latest
9 (7)	Fair Dinkum Bay J:Mia Nicholls T:Jeremy Scott	J:Mia Nicholls T:Jeremy Scott	135	t	17-515	63	73	58	23d	—	—	-1	5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Scored on AW in June; most turf form suggests he can be thereabouts but without winning
5 (11)	New Dayrell Bay J:Liam Wright T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Liam Wright T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	137	—	-44029	65	75	70	25d	—	—	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Generally disappointing; close call against Precision Storm at Bath before a heavy defeat
10 (10)	Wonder Starelzaam Bay J:Rose Dawes T:Denis Coakley	J:Rose Dawes T:Denis Coakley	135	—	0-0740	63	76	60	29d	—	—	-1	4.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Beat a total of one rival during his four races this season; accelerating down the weights
8 (8)	Precision Storm Grey J:Jack Dace(5) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Jack Dace(5) T:Mark Loughnane	136	tp	565413	64	74	69	29d	—	—	+10	14.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won at Bath in June by a neck from New Dayrell; fair third to Carp Kid at Chepstow
1 (12)	Afta Party Grey J:Oliver Searle(3) T:Mark Gillard	J:Oliver Searle(3) T:Mark Gillard	142	b	31/9-8	70	71	-	—	—	—	+3	5.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hurdles win last month; a soft-ground win in 2022 stands out among his Flat form
NR (5)	Meleri Bay J:Luke Catton T:Jim Boyle	J:Luke Catton T:Jim Boyle	136	—	-97752	64	78	71	21d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Struggled this term until close second at Sandown (1m2f, good) three weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Double Red	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Eagle Eyed Tom	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Snapcracklepop	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Carp Kid	13/2	13/2	11/2	11/2	13/2
Typical Woman	9/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	17/2
Beach Point	7/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Fair Dinkum	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
New Dayrell	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Wonder Starelzaam	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Precision Storm	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Afta Party	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beach Point

15.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 8 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Precision Storm

14.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Carp Kid

14.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Eagle Eyed Tom

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

New Dayrell

8.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Meleri

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Double Red

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Snapcracklepop

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Typical Woman

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Afta Party

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Fair Dinkum

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Wonder Starelzaam

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eagle Eyed Tom	70	75	51
Afta Party	70	71	—
Carp Kid	68	76	66
Beach Point	67	80	67
Snapcracklepop	66	76	69
Typical Woman	65	79	51
New Dayrell	65	75	70
Precision Storm	64	74	69
Meleri	64	78	71
Double Red	63	76	59
Fair Dinkum	63	73	58
Wonder Starelzaam	63	76	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eagle Eyed Tom	15d ago	Fit
Carp Kid	21d ago	Fit
Meleri	21d ago	Fit
Beach Point	22d ago	Fit
Typical Woman	23d ago	Fit
Fair Dinkum	23d ago	Fit
New Dayrell	25d ago	Fit
Wonder Starelzaam	29d ago	Fit
Precision Storm	29d ago	Fit
Double Red	32d ago	Fit
Snapcracklepop	72d ago	Fresh
Afta Party	—	—