Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

14:05

Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,308

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	First Folio Grey J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	139	—	7-5643	86	98	81	29d	—	—	-7	15.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Losing sequence goes back to September but recent signs are encouraging
2 (6)	Eminency Grey J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Stuart Williams	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Stuart Williams	135	tv	245038	82	97	88	2d	—	—	-4	15.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has run some good races over 6f this summer, but not at Windsor on Thursday evening
5 (8)	Strike Grey J:David Egan T:Jonathan Portman	J:David Egan T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	4-1311	75	96	74	19d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won this 2 years ago & having excellent season; strong contender despite career-high mark
4 (2)	Mister Bluebird Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Heather Main	J:Billy Loughnane T:Heather Main	129	p	-40330	76	95	83	23d	—	—	0	14.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Well beaten at Yarmouth last time but in good form previously & was 3rd in this last year
8 (4)	Fine Interview Grey J:Faleh Bughenaim T:Hamad Al Jehani	J:Faleh Bughenaim T:Hamad Al Jehani	126	—	-07031	76	94	72	11d	—	—	+11	21.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won recent Ffos Las maiden and this 3yo has potential off his handicap mark
6 (7)	Archduke Ferdinand Grey J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	128	p	-25845	75	94	80	22d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fifth of 21 at York three weeks ago on rare crack at a sprint trip; might not be far away
9 (9)	Grenham Bay Grey J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	124	p	921347	71	95	65	26d	—	—	+7	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Returned from break with fair run at Windsor last month; could take step forward from it
7 (5)	Mart Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	126	—	211048	76	93	74	8d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won two in a row in May but soundly beaten on each of his last three starts
3 (1)	Good Karma Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	131	—	978485	78	95	81	9d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	7.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran well at Epsom early last month but tailed off the next twice

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
First Folio	3/1	11/4	3/1
Eminency	7/2	7/2	7/2
Strike	11/2	9/2	5/1
Mister Bluebird	11/2	6/1	11/2
Fine Interview	8/1	8/1	8/1
Archduke Ferdinand	10/1	9/1	10/1
Grenham Bay	16/1	14/1	16/1
Mart	25/1	22/1	22/1
Good Karma	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fine Interview

21.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

2nd

Eminency

15.8

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

First Folio

15.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Mister Bluebird

14.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

6/1

Mart

12.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Grenham Bay

12.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Strike

10.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Archduke Ferdinand

9.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Good Karma

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Folio	86	98	81
Eminency	82	97	88
Good Karma	78	95	81
Mister Bluebird	76	95	83
Fine Interview	76	94	72
Mart	76	93	74
Strike	75	96	74
Archduke Ferdinand	75	94	80
Grenham Bay	71	95	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eminency	2d ago	Quick return
Mart	8d ago	Quick return
Good Karma	9d ago	Quick return
Fine Interview	11d ago	Quick return
Strike	19d ago	Fit
Archduke Ferdinand	22d ago	Fit
Mister Bluebird	23d ago	Fit
Grenham Bay	26d ago	Fit
First Folio	29d ago	Fit