At The Races App Form Study Fillies' Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

At The Races App Form Study Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-08-20

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 28.37s (slow by 2.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Machiavellian Lady (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/1	Won
2nd	Capuchinero (GB) Christian Howarth · Alice Haynes	17/2	1.75
3rd	Heavenly Fire (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	17/2	0.3
4th	Stella Hogan (IRE) David Probert · John O'Shea	6/1	0.3
5th	Mizuumi (FR) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	9/1	0.2
6th	Marianglas (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	9/2F	.5
7th	Leveret (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	18/1	0.2
8th	Liberty Mountain (GB) Tyler Heard · Barry Brennan	14/1	0.2
9th	Oscar's Sister (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Julie Camacho	9/1	1.5
10th	Never Fear (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Charlie Johnston	5/1	2.25
11th	Rose Fandango (GB) Adam Farragher · John O'Shea	18/1	9.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (11)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:David Probert T:John O'Shea	J:David Probert T:John O'Shea	129	—	322502	57	76	66	22d	—	—	-2	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1lb higher than when beaten a short head over C&D last month; stall 11 a problem
5 (10)	Marianglas Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	132	b	5-3470	65	73	64	46d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Regressed since a promising return; drops in trip with blinkers on
12 (1)	Heavenly Fire Brown J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	125	h	454693	58	73	46	5d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has shown some ability as when third last time, but not really progressing; hood on
3 (9)	Never Fear Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	135	v	588830	68	72	48	19d	—	—	-3	10.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Three wins on Tapeta last year, the last off 8lb higher; not sure what to expect; visor on
1 (4)	Capuchinero Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	138	tp	437310	66	75	56	32d	—	—	+7	15.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won at Brighton last month and ran well when third over C&D on latest AW start; respected
9 (7)	Mizuumi Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	129	—	1-4546	62	72	51	22d	—	—	+5	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not built on a successful Kempton debut and has been very poor on turf; Tapeta debut
8 (6)	Oscar's Sister Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	131	h	89-664	59	72	-	32d	—	—	-4	4.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Better effort when fourth at Haydock last month, but is unraced on the AW
6 (3)	Machiavellian Lady Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	132	p	9-6778	65	75	44	36d	—	—	-1	5.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Chelmsford winner last October, but out of the frame in five starts since; cheekpieces on
4 (2)	Leveret Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	p	748-66	67	75	63	41d	—	—	0	6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-7; ran well on the Newcastle Tapeta late last year, but has gone the wrong way since
11 (8)	Rose Fandango Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:John O'Shea	J:Adam Farragher T:John O'Shea	128	p	715563	56	75	72	22d	—	—	+3	7.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two of her three wins have come over C&D; ran well back here last time; each-way claims
2 (5)	Liberty Mountain Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Barry Brennan	J:Tyler Heard T:Barry Brennan	138	—	7-4675	66	78	54	32d	—	—	+1	5.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
2lb lower than when winning over C&D for another trainer last October; interesting
NR (12)	Mammy Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	132	v	7-3244	65	-	-	55d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Stella Hogan	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1
Marianglas	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Heavenly Fire	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Never Fear	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Capuchinero	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mizuumi	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Oscar's Sister	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Machiavellian Lady	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Leveret	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Rose Fandango	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Liberty Mountain	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Capuchinero

15.3

OR: 4 Form: 9.1 Odds: 2.2

9/1

2nd

Stella Hogan

OR: 1.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Mizuumi

12.1

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Never Fear

10.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Marianglas

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Rose Fandango

7.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Heavenly Fire

7.5

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Leveret

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Machiavellian Lady

5.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Liberty Mountain

5.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Oscar's Sister

4.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Mammy

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Never Fear	68	72	48
Leveret	67	75	63
Capuchinero	66	75	56
Liberty Mountain	66	78	54
Marianglas	65	73	64
Machiavellian Lady	65	75	44
Mammy	65	—	—
Mizuumi	62	72	51
Oscar's Sister	59	72	—
Heavenly Fire	58	73	46
Stella Hogan	57	76	66
Rose Fandango	56	75	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Heavenly Fire	5d ago	Quick return
Never Fear	19d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	22d ago	Fit
Mizuumi	22d ago	Fit
Rose Fandango	22d ago	Fit
Capuchinero	32d ago	Fit
Oscar's Sister	32d ago	Fit
Liberty Mountain	32d ago	Fit
Machiavellian Lady	36d ago	Fit
Leveret	41d ago	Fit
Marianglas	46d ago	Fresh
Mammy	55d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.