Autism In Racing Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

15:50

Autism In Racing Handicap

Date 2024-08-21

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Ribble River Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	6-7553	57	65	57	33d	—	—	-12	7.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
3yo; third of 12 when upped to 1m2f at Nottingham (good to soft) on latest start
5 (4)	Love Yours Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	134	—	444471	62	67	49	22d	—	—	+3	17	1.13/1	9/2 18%
15th race when off the mark at Beverley (1m2f, good to firm) latest, leading on the post
3 (2)	Captain Potter Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	137	—	8475-5	57	68	17	19d	—	—	-7	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won maiden hurdle in January; gave some encouragement when returned to Flat recently
1 (8)	Tilsitt Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:R Mike Smith	J:Cieren Fallon T:R Mike Smith	140	tp	-43538	60	72	58	11d	—	—	-3	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two thirds this summer and he continues to edge down the weights; headgear returns
10 (12)	National Question Brown J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Adam Nicol	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Adam Nicol	128	b	203416	48	64	50	8d	1W/1P 1 run	—	0	11	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dead-heated for first in Musselburgh classified (1m4f) in July; soft maybe to blame latest
6 (11)	Dandy's Angel Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:John Wainwright	J:Callum Rodriguez T:John Wainwright	133	—	446447	53	69	58	30d	—	—	-6	3.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Five wins in 2023 included one here; some caution is advised on evidence this term
4 (5)	I Doubt That Bay J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	137	t	712/57	57	66	-	36d	—	—	-3	3.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
His five turf results on Flat have been grim and his AW win (2m) was in 2022
8 (3)	Visitant Chestnut J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	128	p	625822	48	64	46	11d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
11yo who's a rare winner these days; runner-up in 1m2f classifieds on last two outings
2 (6)	Annandale Chestnut J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	139	—	4289-7	59	70	43	16d	—	—	-1	3.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
No win since 2021; close up over C&D (good) last June and now 7lb lower
11 (1)	Milltown Lily Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	126	tp	26-073	46	65	17	18d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-28; C&D second one year ago but opposable on all evidence since; cheekpieces go on
9 (10)	Going To The Moon Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	128	b	3-0007	48	52	34	11d	—	—	0	3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
12-race maiden, with some modest form last season but not this year
12 (7)	Leveche Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	118	—	8760	46	55	20	11d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
No form claims after four starts; soundly beaten behind Visitant on latest

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ribble River	7/2	7/2	7/2
Love Yours	9/2	9/2	9/2
Captain Potter	13/2	11/2	6/1
Tilsitt	11/2	11/2	11/2
National Question	15/2	15/2	15/2
Dandy's Angel	8/1	15/2	8/1
I Doubt That	11/1	10/1	11/1
Visitant	16/1	16/1	16/1
Annandale	16/1	16/1	18/1
Milltown Lily	25/1	20/1	22/1
Going To The Moon	33/1	28/1	28/1
Leveche	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Love Yours

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Visitant

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

National Question

OR: 0 Form: 7.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tilsitt

8.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Ribble River

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Captain Potter

5.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

I Doubt That

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Annandale

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Dandy's Angel

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Going To The Moon

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Milltown Lily

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Leveche

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Yours	62	67	49
Tilsitt	60	72	58
Annandale	59	70	43
Ribble River	57	65	57
Captain Potter	57	68	17
I Doubt That	57	66	—
Dandy's Angel	53	69	58
National Question	48	64	50
Visitant	48	64	46
Going To The Moon	48	52	34
Milltown Lily	46	65	17
Leveche	46	55	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
National Question	8d ago	Quick return
Tilsitt	11d ago	Quick return
Visitant	11d ago	Quick return
Going To The Moon	11d ago	Quick return
Leveche	11d ago	Quick return
Annandale	16d ago	Fit
Milltown Lily	18d ago	Fit
Captain Potter	19d ago	Fit
Love Yours	22d ago	Fit
Dandy's Angel	30d ago	Fit
Ribble River	33d ago	Fit
I Doubt That	36d ago	Fit