Sky Bet Stayers Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

York

16:10

Date 2024-08-21

Distance 2m56y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £51,540

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Samui Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jamie Spencer T:Gordon Elliott	138	t	121	102	104	78	36d	—	—	+13	39.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
This is a much higher mark than for his Killarney romp but no shock if he can win again
2 (7)	Divine Comedy Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	138	—	13-312	102	112	97	64d	—	—	+3	17	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has flourished in staying handicaps; superb second from off pace over 2m4f at Royal Ascot
13 (1)	Forza Orta Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	120	—	-78660	84	110	80	18d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won this race (good to firm) last term; has 2lb lower mark today, as he's been below best
10 (8)	Knightswood Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	832445	88	112	85	18d	—	—	+2	15.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Met serious trouble in running again when narrowly behind Great Bedwyn at Goodwood (1m6f)
9 (10)	Great Bedwyn Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	125	—	1-2413	89	111	94	18d	—	—	+8	20.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Finished strongly but too late from out the back when close 3rd at Goodwood upped to 1m6f
12 (17)	Spirit Mixer Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	121	—	039754	85	110	99	11d	—	—	+3	11.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has settled at a lower level this season; close fourth in Shergar Cup race at Ascot latest
8 (4)	Ensured Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Saffie Osborne T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	126	p	-32511	90	109	74	18d	—	—	+23	31.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won final start for James Fanshawe and first for new yard, but he's unraced beyond 1m4f
11 (15)	Extensio Bay J:J M Sheridan T:P F O'Donnell	J:J M Sheridan T:P F O'Donnell	121	—	213-61	85	104	75	42d	—	—	+3	10.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Irish raider, smooth win last time; this mark gives him more to prove but he needs respect
5 (12)	Tritonic Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	128	—	0-5406	92	112	98	19d	—	—	+5	12.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made a step back in right direction at Goodwood latest start but others look more solid
6 (2)	Evaluation Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	128	t	5-5912	92	107	-	53d	—	—	+5	12.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Returns almost to his career-high mark, but back in serious calculations after AW revival
16 (9)	Robert Johnson Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Tracy Waggott	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Tracy Waggott	118	—	-32547	82	108	102	19d	—	—	+6	11.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Underperformed on stable debut but earlier efforts this term give him an each-way chance
7 (16)	Get Shirty Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	126	—	-53640	90	110	99	19d	—	—	+7	12.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Way below peak mark; much closer again on three starts this term; ran poorly latest though
17 (13)	Quantum Leap Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Edward Bethell	J:Rowan Scott T:Edward Bethell	118	ht	55-243	82	110	77	18d	—	—	+5	9.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Creditable minor honours this term (1m4f, 1m6f and 1m5f) but needs extra in this hot race
4 (3)	Zoffee Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	129	—	80-100	93	107	75	40d	—	—	+8	11.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won Chester Cup (good to firm) in May off 3lb lower; last of 12 at Newmarket latest start
14 (6)	Bringbackmemories Bay J:David Egan T:Iain Jardine	J:David Egan T:Iain Jardine	119	t	633031	83	110	74	18d	—	—	+19	22.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Close third over C&D and won a four-runner race at Hamilton (1m5f) eight days later
15 (11)	Red Flyer Chestnut J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Karen Jewell	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Karen Jewell	119	—	124537	83	107	62	26d	—	—	+11	11.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Faded right out of it at Ascot (2m, good) last month, having been absent 107 days
NR (14)	Iron Lion Grey J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	131	—	316151	95	111	72	32d	—	—	—	28.3	—	—
Progress has not been smooth but he's scored three times over 1m4f this season

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Samui	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Divine Comedy	13/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2
Forza Orta	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Knightswood	7/1	15/2	7/1	8/1	7/1
Great Bedwyn	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Spirit Mixer	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ensured	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Extensio	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tritonic	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Evaluation	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Robert Johnson	18/1	18/1	20/1	14/1	18/1
Get Shirty	25/1	25/1	25/1	14/1	25/1
Quantum Leap	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Zoffee	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Bringbackmemories	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1	33/1
Red Flyer	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Samui

39.5

OR: 13 Form: 18.5 Odds: 8

3/1

2nd

Ensured

31.5

OR: 10 Form: 19.1 Odds: 2.4

14/1

3rd

Iron Lion

28.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

Bringbackmemories

22.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Great Bedwyn

20.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

9/1

Divine Comedy

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Knightswood

15.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

8/1

Tritonic

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Evaluation

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Forza Orta

12.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Get Shirty

12.3

OR: 10 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Spirit Mixer

11.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Robert Johnson

11.7

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Red Flyer

11.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Zoffee

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Extensio

10.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Quantum Leap

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Samui	102	104	78
Divine Comedy	102	112	97
Iron Lion	95	111	72
Zoffee	93	107	75
Tritonic	92	112	98
Evaluation	92	107	—
Ensured	90	109	74
Get Shirty	90	110	99
Great Bedwyn	89	111	94
Knightswood	88	112	85
Spirit Mixer	85	110	99
Extensio	85	104	75
Forza Orta	84	110	80
Bringbackmemories	83	110	74
Red Flyer	83	107	62
Robert Johnson	82	108	102
Quantum Leap	82	110	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spirit Mixer	11d ago	Quick return
Forza Orta	18d ago	Fit
Knightswood	18d ago	Fit
Great Bedwyn	18d ago	Fit
Ensured	18d ago	Fit
Quantum Leap	18d ago	Fit
Bringbackmemories	18d ago	Fit
Tritonic	19d ago	Fit
Robert Johnson	19d ago	Fit
Get Shirty	19d ago	Fit
Red Flyer	26d ago	Fit
Iron Lion	32d ago	Fit
Samui	36d ago	Fit
Zoffee	40d ago	Fit
Extensio	42d ago	Fit
Evaluation	53d ago	Fresh
Divine Comedy	64d ago	Fresh