Jenningsbet Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

2:10

Jenningsbet Handicap

Date 2024-08-24

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,700

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (2)	Rosy Affair b J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	134	—	212112	85	97	74	36d	—	—	+14	35.9	11/4 27%
Consistent and progressive; C&D second has been boosted; looks the one to beat
5 (9)	Mashadi b J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	p	-2252P	84	95	91	84d	—	—	0	18.4	7/2 22%
0-10 (second seven times); bled from nose last time but previous run was a personal best
7 (10)	Dashing Dick b J:Andrea Atzeni T:William Stone	J:Andrea Atzeni T:William Stone	133	b	4-0312	81	95	83	15d	—	—	-5	13	7/2 22%
Loves it here; narrowly beaten over C&D two weeks ago; solid chance
2 (4)	Change For Good b J:Rob Hornby T:Hamad Al Jehani	J:Rob Hornby T:Hamad Al Jehani	136	—	88-347	87	93	65	24d	—	—	0	12.9	7/1 13%
0-5 since winning debut last year; perhaps this drop in trip will have a positive effect
1 (7)	Raatea b J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	136	p	3-0679	84	94	77	36d	—	—	+4	13.3	8/1 11%
Now 6lb lower than when winning at Haydock last June but hasn't threatened this year
10 (1)	Bulldog Drummond b J:Daniel Muscutt T:Patrick Owens	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Patrick Owens	130	b	463475	81	96	80	14d	—	—	+2	11.2	9/1 10%
Two 6f AW wins last winter but below par on his last three outings
6 (6)	Angel Shared b J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	133	—	1-1158	84	95	79	29d	—	—	+13	16.6	22/1 4%
Last two runs have been below par; quick ground would be a concern
NR (8)	Lir Speciale b J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	135	t	-40647	83	95	81	10d	—	—	—	8.3	—
Favourite at Kempton last time but failed to stop the slide; excuses are wearing thin
NR (3)	Tiger Crusade b J:Neil Callan T:David Simcock	J:Neil Callan T:David Simcock	132	—	465005	80	94	57	23d	—	—	—	7.5	—
C&D winner; others are more reliable but he's too well handicapped to be ignored
NR (5)	Equiano Springs b J:Tom Queally T:Tom Tate	J:Tom Queally T:Tom Tate	131	—	-80253	79	96	83	15d	—	—	—	12.8	—
Veteran; goes well here, creditable third two weeks ago; unlikely to be far away

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rosy Affair	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Mashadi	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Dashing Dick	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Change For Good	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Raatea	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Bulldog Drummond	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Angel Shared	22/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rosy Affair

35.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 20.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Mashadi

18.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Angel Shared

16.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Raatea

13.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Dashing Dick

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Change For Good

12.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Equiano Springs

12.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Bulldog Drummond

11.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Lir Speciale

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tiger Crusade

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Change For Good Top Rated	87	93	65
Rosy Affair	85	97	74
Mashadi	84	95	91
Raatea	84	94	77
Angel Shared	84	95	79
Lir Speciale	83	95	81
Dashing Dick	81	95	83
Bulldog Drummond	81	96	80
Tiger Crusade	80	94	57
Equiano Springs	79	96	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lir Speciale	10d ago	Quick return
Bulldog Drummond	14d ago	Fit
Dashing Dick	15d ago	Fit
Equiano Springs	15d ago	Fit
Tiger Crusade	23d ago	Fit
Change For Good	24d ago	Fit
Angel Shared	29d ago	Fit
Rosy Affair	36d ago	Fit
Raatea	36d ago	Fit
Mashadi	84d ago	Fresh