racingtv.com Handicap – Redcar

Redcar

19:00

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-08-24

Distance 5f217y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (14)	Novello Lad Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	129	—	9-3313	67	86	70	15d	—	—	-9	9.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improving this summer; latest Thirsk run can be upgraded; still capable of better
11 (9)	Kitaab Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Philip Kirby	128	—	272237	63	84	66	29d	—	—	-1	13.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two seriously eyecatching efforts for new stable; good mark; one to note in the betting
1 (13)	Archduke Ferdinand Grey J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	143	p	258451	78	82	67	7d	—	—	+7	21	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Game front-running win at Newmarket last week; major player despite a 3lb rise
5 (1)	Golden Duke Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	29-655	67	83	59	13d	—	—	-3	7.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Down to a handy mark and latest Leicester fifth was more encouraging; each-way shout
8 (7)	Stormy Pearl Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	129	p	272110	64	85	68	14d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two 6f wins in Class 6 events last month; disappointing latest; back up in class
6 (8)	Showhound Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	132	—	12-967	70	81	63	9d	—	—	-1	7.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2nd in the novice on this card last year; quiet in handicaps this year but drops in class
13 (2)	Soul Singer Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	124	—	220552	62	81	65	63d	—	—	+4	10.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran as well as he ever has when 2nd over C&D nine weeks ago; up 2lb in a better race
12 (3)	Alfa Whiteburd Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	128	—	58548-	66	77	65	252d	—	—	0	5.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-10 as a 2yo; had a wind op since last seen but looks best watched on his return
7 (11)	Gentle Ellen Bay J:Joanna Mason T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joanna Mason T:David & Nicola Barron	131	—	-03230	66	83	67	11d	—	—	+6	10.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Consistent enough but 6f on faster than good might not place enough emphasis on stamina
4 (10)	Sparkling Red Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	134	v	082868	69	83	68	9d	—	—	+3	7.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Course winner (5f); mixed record this year and other pace to contend with; new headgear
3 (5)	Heroism Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:David & Nicola Barron	135	t	45-004	70	85	58	21d	—	—	+2	6.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Best run for new yard when 4th of 8 at Doncaster three weeks ago; chance if building on it
14 (6)	Marie's Secret Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	121	—	245-35	59	80	56	93d	—	—	0	3.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not solid but her best RPR came on good to firm, a surface she's not faced in last 7 runs
2 (12)	Hail Sezer Bay J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	137	—	009-10	72	82	73	26d	—	—	+3	6.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won this race off 6lb lower in 2022; good win at Catterick in May; below par on AW latest
10 (4)	San Isidro Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	129	h	03-370	64	84	40	30d	—	—	+2	4.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor effort at Doncaster last month and looks vulnerable back at 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Novello Lad	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Kitaab	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Archduke Ferdinand	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Golden Duke	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Stormy Pearl	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Showhound	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Soul Singer	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Alfa Whiteburd	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Gentle Ellen	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Sparkling Red	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Heroism	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Marie's Secret	28/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Hail Sezer	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
San Isidro	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Archduke Ferdinand

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Stormy Pearl

19.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

3rd

Kitaab

13.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 4

5/1

Soul Singer

10.9

OR: 3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Gentle Ellen

10.9

OR: 4 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Novello Lad

9.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Sparkling Red

7.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Showhound

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Golden Duke

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Hail Sezer

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Heroism

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Alfa Whiteburd

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

San Isidro

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Marie's Secret

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Archduke Ferdinand	78	82	67
Hail Sezer	72	82	73
Showhound	70	81	63
Heroism	70	85	58
Sparkling Red	69	83	68
Novello Lad	67	86	70
Golden Duke	67	83	59
Alfa Whiteburd	66	77	65
Gentle Ellen	66	83	67
Stormy Pearl	64	85	68
San Isidro	64	84	40
Kitaab	63	84	66
Soul Singer	62	81	65
Marie's Secret	59	80	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Archduke Ferdinand	7d ago	Quick return
Showhound	9d ago	Quick return
Sparkling Red	9d ago	Quick return
Gentle Ellen	11d ago	Quick return
Golden Duke	13d ago	Quick return
Stormy Pearl	14d ago	Fit
Novello Lad	15d ago	Fit
Heroism	21d ago	Fit
Hail Sezer	26d ago	Fit
Kitaab	29d ago	Fit
San Isidro	30d ago	Fit
Soul Singer	63d ago	Fresh
Marie's Secret	93d ago	Long break
Alfa Whiteburd	252d ago	Long break