Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

York

4:45

Date 2024-08-24

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £56,710

Runners (17)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11 (1)	Tropical Storm b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	5228	101	112	101	23d	—	—	0	26.8	9/4 31%
Progressive in his 5f attempts, peaking with second in the Norfolk; big player
8 (13)	Mr Lightside b J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	128	—	0113	103	113	101	24d	—	—	+16	33.3	4/1 20%
Doing well over 5f, close third in the Molecomb most recently; leading contender
7 (16)	Magnum Force b J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	t	21	-	96	90	8d	—	—	+4	17.5	5/1 17%
Promising colt who won at Cork last week; the only runner who holds a Group 1 entry
12 (8)	Vingegaard b J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	128	—	1529	94	109	103	24d	—	—	+12	19.6	10/1 9%
Perhaps unsuited by Goodwood last time; respectable form on galloping tracks otherwise
13 (15)	Beauty Queen b J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	123	—	13	85	104	92	28d	—	—	+10	22.4	12/1 8%
Looked a useful prospect over 5f on debut; failed to get home over 6f here since
15 (14)	Make Haste b J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	123	ht	102	-	105	93	31d	—	—	+6	11.4	20/1 5%
Second in Naas Listed race with hood added; could go well in the retained headgear
17 (9)	River Seine b J:Oisin Orr T:K R Burke	J:Oisin Orr T:K R Burke	123	—	23214	88	107	100	8d	—	—	+17	22.5	20/1 5%
Ran creditably in similar event at Newbury last week; proving a consistent filly
1 (10)	Ardennes b J:James Doyle T:Ed Walker	J:James Doyle T:Ed Walker	128	—	6124	84	97	89	22d	—	—	+14	18.2	22/1 4%
Ran creditably in Glorious Goodwood nursery last time; this is a stiffer assignment
5 (6)	King Of Light ch J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	—	3371	83	96	91	15d	—	—	+11	24.3	22/1 4%
Gelded prior to getting off the mark at Musselburgh last time, beating La Bellota a neck
3 (2)	Do It Now b J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	—	23150	90	103	97	22d	—	—	+8	20.5	25/1 4%
Ran well in the Super Sprint but poorly in Goodwood nursery since; others preferred
4 (3)	Fuji Mountain gr J:David Allan T:Declan Carroll	J:David Allan T:Declan Carroll	128	—	72010	84	95	82	24d	—	—	+8	20.6	33/1 3%
Limitations have been exposed in the Windsor Castle and Molecomb; readily opposed
14 (7)	Blue Zodiac b J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Bell	J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Bell	123	—	613	86	99	96	24d	—	—	+10	22.6	25/1 4%
Improving filly who ran well in a conditions race at Glorious Goodwood most recently
9 (12)	Sir Yoshi b J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	128	—	231746	-	98	85	34d	—	—	-6	7.2	33/1 3%
Irish colt; has performed respectably at a useful level but is rather exposed now
6 (4)	La Bellota b J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	128	—	22	-	95	90	15d	—	—	+6	9.3	50/1 2%
Mill Reef entry; has shown clear promise; neck second to King Of Light on latest start
10 (5)	The Man b J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Spencer	J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Spencer	128	h	100	84	92	72	24d	—	—	+12	14.2	50/1 2%
Duck eggs in the Norfolk and Molecomb expose his limitations; hood fitted
2 (17)	Binadham b J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	1630	94	104	91	24d	—	—	+15	16.6	50/1 2%
Ran well in the Norfolk but failed to back up that effort in the Molecomb; not solid
NR (11)	Pearl Of Windsor b J:Jack Gilligan T:Conrad Allen	J:Jack Gilligan T:Conrad Allen	123	—	441	78	95	83	16d	—	—	—	17	—
Suited by the drop to 5f at Sandown but may struggle to follow up in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tropical Storm	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
Mr Lightside	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Magnum Force	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Vingegaard	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Beauty Queen	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Make Haste	16/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
River Seine	16/1	16/1	20/1	16/1	16/1
Ardennes	18/1	16/1	22/1	18/1	16/1
King Of Light	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Do It Now	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Fuji Mountain	28/1	25/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Blue Zodiac	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Sir Yoshi	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1	33/1
La Bellota	50/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	28/1
The Man	40/1	40/1	28/1	50/1	40/1
Binadham	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Lightside

33.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 15 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Tropical Storm

26.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 6 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

King Of Light

24.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.4 Odds: 3.6

22/1

Blue Zodiac

22.6

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

25/1

River Seine

22.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 11.4 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Beauty Queen

22.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

12/1

Fuji Mountain

20.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

33/1

Do It Now

20.5

OR: 10 Form: 6.9 Odds: 3.6

25/1

Vingegaard

19.6

OR: 11 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Ardennes

18.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Magnum Force

17.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Pearl Of Windsor

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Binadham

16.6

OR: 11 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.5

50/1

The Man

14.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Make Haste

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

20/1

La Bellota

9.3

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Sir Yoshi

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Lightside Top Rated	103	113	101
Tropical Storm	101	112	101
Vingegaard	94	109	103
Binadham	94	104	91
Do It Now	90	103	97
River Seine	88	107	100
Blue Zodiac	86	99	96
Beauty Queen	85	104	92
Ardennes	84	97	89
Fuji Mountain	84	95	82
The Man	84	92	72
King Of Light	83	96	91
Pearl Of Windsor	78	95	83
Magnum Force	—	96	90
Make Haste	—	105	93
Sir Yoshi	—	98	85
La Bellota	—	95	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magnum Force	8d ago	Quick return
River Seine	8d ago	Quick return
King Of Light	15d ago	Fit
La Bellota	15d ago	Fit
Pearl Of Windsor	16d ago	Fit
Ardennes	22d ago	Fit
Do It Now	22d ago	Fit
Tropical Storm	23d ago	Fit
Mr Lightside	24d ago	Fit
Vingegaard	24d ago	Fit
Fuji Mountain	24d ago	Fit
Blue Zodiac	24d ago	Fit
The Man	24d ago	Fit
Binadham	24d ago	Fit
Beauty Queen	28d ago	Fit
Make Haste	31d ago	Fit
Sir Yoshi	34d ago	Fit