Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 1m3f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 33.88s (slow by 1.98s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Carpathian (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	5/6F	Won
2nd	Bluenose Belle (USA) Silvestre De Sousa · Richard Phillips	40/1	2.75
3rd	Ghost Story (IRE) David Egan · John Butler	18/1	2
4th	Birkin (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	7/2	2.5
5th	Sapphire Sirocco (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	14/1	1.25
6th	Clear Storm (GB) Cieren Fallon · Nigel Hawke	16/1	0.3
7th	Tuneful (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	5/1	37

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Carpathian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	135	—	362532	69	72	51	16d	—	—	-21	31.2	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Still a maiden but went close at this course most recently with usual hood removed
5 (4)	Birkin Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	667	67	68	36	21d	—	—	-8	9.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Nicely bred and has the potential to be much better than her opening mark; interesting
6 (7)	Tuneful Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	132	—	877-2	66	66	49	191d	—	—	-1	13	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Improved effort on handicap debut when last seen; could well take another step forward
7 (3)	Sapphire Sirocco Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	126	—	0-96	60	60	9	77d	—	—	-2	4.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Bare form suggests she's less interesting than the other handicap debutantes
2 (2)	Clear Storm Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Nigel Hawke	J:Cieren Fallon T:Nigel Hawke	135	—	-31523	69	71	33	54d	—	—	+12	16.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
In good form for William Haggas but likely needs some progress to score on stable debut
4 (1)	Ghost Story Brown J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	134	—	01	68	65	-	40d	—	—	+12	15.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won at Nottingham last month on second start; likely player granted further progress
1 (6)	Bluenose Belle Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	138	p	268-00	63	62	18	17d	—	—	+1	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won here in early 2023; two duck eggs this term leave a big doubt over her current form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Carpathian	4/6	8/13	8/13	4/6	4/6
Birkin	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Tuneful	6/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Sapphire Sirocco	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Clear Storm	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Ghost Story	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Bluenose Belle	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Carpathian

31.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

Clear Storm

16.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

3rd

Ghost Story

15.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Tuneful

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 4

6/1

Birkin

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Sapphire Sirocco

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Bluenose Belle

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Carpathian	69	72	51
Clear Storm	69	71	33
Ghost Story	68	65	—
Birkin	67	68	36
Tuneful	66	66	49
Bluenose Belle	63	62	18
Sapphire Sirocco	60	60	9

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Carpathian	16d ago	Fit
Bluenose Belle	17d ago	Fit
Birkin	21d ago	Fit
Ghost Story	40d ago	Fit
Clear Storm	54d ago	Fresh
Sapphire Sirocco	77d ago	Fresh
Tuneful	191d ago	Long break