Virgin Bet Chester Stakes (Listed Race) – Chester

Chester

15:15

Virgin Bet Chester Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-08-31

Distance 1m6f87y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £33,612

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Absurde Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:W P Mullins	J:Daniel Tudhope T:W P Mullins	134	—	/217-4	109	121	99	14d	—	—	0	20.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
A flop on recent reappearance but he's a leading contender if he returns to his best
8 (3)	Caius Chorister Bay J:James Doyle T:David Menuisier	J:James Doyle T:David Menuisier	129	—	1-2264	108	125	105	28d	—	—	+3	29.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Scuppered recently by failure to settle; the one to beat judged on initial form this term
6 (5)	Samui Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Gordon Elliott	J:Oisin Orr T:Gordon Elliott	134	tp	1212	105	116	86	10d	—	—	+18	37	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2nd at York last week; this drop back in trip is a worry but he has cheekpieces first time
3 (4)	Fairbanks Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	134	v	126120	101	113	89	7d	—	—	+13	25.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Progressed well this term until a rather muted display in the Ebor at York last Saturday
5 (8)	Real Dream Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	134	t	103-25	105	117	71	77d	—	—	+7	16.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran badly in June last time but had wind surgery soon afterwards; not totally dismissed
7 (6)	Shanroe Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Karl Thornton	J:Robbie Colgan T:Karl Thornton	134	t	/U116-	106	114	94	300d	—	—	+23	26.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Career peak when making all to beat his four rivals in this last year; off since November
2 (7)	Enemy Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	134	t	127586	108	119	92	29d	—	—	+14	16.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Should spring back at some point; Chester record doesn't strongly suggest it will be today
NR (2)	Rajinsky Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	134	—	16507-	103	122	79	398d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Has good record returning from a layoff but probably needs to be at or near his peak

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Absurde	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Caius Chorister	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
Samui	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Fairbanks	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Real Dream	10/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Shanroe	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Enemy	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Samui

OR: 13.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Caius Chorister

29.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Shanroe

26.5

OR: 14 Form: 11.6 Odds: 1

28/1

Fairbanks

25.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Absurde

20.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Real Dream

16.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Enemy

16.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Rajinsky

15.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Absurde	109	121	99
Caius Chorister	108	125	105
Enemy	108	119	92
Shanroe	106	114	94
Samui	105	116	86
Real Dream	105	117	71
Rajinsky	103	122	79
Fairbanks	101	113	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fairbanks	7d ago	Quick return
Samui	10d ago	Quick return
Absurde	14d ago	Fit
Caius Chorister	28d ago	Fit
Enemy	29d ago	Fit
Real Dream	77d ago	Fresh
Shanroe	300d ago	Long break
Rajinsky	398d ago	Long break