Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed Race)

Tipperary

16:00

Date 2024-09-01

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €23,600

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (8)	She's Quality Bay J:W J Lee T:Jack W Davison	J:W J Lee T:Jack W Davison	127	b	241166	101	117	105	28d	—	—	+4	28	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Not far off Jakajaro and Ano Syra when sixth in a Curragh Group 2 on penultimate start
3 (3)	Jakajaro Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	132	—	453449	104	114	92	22d	—	—	+4	18.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Group 2 fourth at the Curragh on penultimate start implies a good chance in this company
7 (10)	Little Queenie Grey J:Robert Whearty T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty T:Paul W Flynn	128	—	-20131	99	116	91	17d	—	—	+19	34.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winner of all three AW starts since last November, has also run well on turf this year
5 (5)	Ano Syra Bay J:Shane Foley T:John James Feane	J:Shane Foley T:John James Feane	128	p	439257	102	120	95	22d	—	—	+7	19.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Best form at the Curragh, closely matched with Jakajaro on recent evidence
2 (7)	Twilight Jet Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	133	tb	-92888	99	113	91	22d	—	—	+5	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winning favourite in this event 12 months ago, this is a deeper race than last year's
10 (11)	Majestic Beauty Grey J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	127	—	6-4209	92	110	80	39d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two wins for Alice Haynes at two, yet to score in Ireland, others have stronger claims
8 (9)	Samrogue Bay J:Ben Coen T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Ben Coen T:Ross O'Sullivan	128	—	250612	80	100	78	22d	—	—	+16	20.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Confirmed rate of improvement with Curragh second, stepping into a different league now.
9 (1)	So Majestic Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate McGivern	J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate McGivern	128	tp	837240	90	110	83	9d	—	—	+9	14.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two 5f handicap wins last season, has been placed twice in Listed races, tough task now
4 (2)	Sturlasson Grey J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	132	—	-01209	90	106	97	30d	—	—	+12	16.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Out of his depth in a Group 2 sprint at Goodwood, likely to find this too demanding also
6 (4)	Gabriella's Spirit Bay J:N G McCullagh T:K J Condon	J:N G McCullagh T:K J Condon	128	tp	0-0626	79	101	65	37d	—	—	+6	7.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
No match for She's Quality in a conditions event here in July, tough task at these weights
NR (6)	Go Athletico Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	133	—	13-837	105	119	76	112d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
Enjoyed an excellent 2023 campaign, absent since May but has to be taken seriously

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
She's Quality	5/2	9/4	9/4
Jakajaro	6/1	11/2	11/2
Little Queenie	9/2	4/1	9/2
Ano Syra	5/1	11/2	11/2
Twilight Jet	13/2	13/2	6/1
Majestic Beauty	10/1	10/1	10/1
Samrogue	20/1	16/1	18/1
So Majestic	18/1	16/1	18/1
Sturlasson	18/1	16/1	16/1
Gabriella's Spirit	80/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Little Queenie

34.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 18.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

She's Quality

OR: 12.8 Form: 8 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Samrogue

20.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ano Syra

19.7

OR: 13 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Jakajaro

18.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Twilight Jet

17.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sturlasson

16.9

OR: 10 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

So Majestic

14.7

OR: 10 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Go Athletico

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Majestic Beauty

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Gabriella's Spirit

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Go Athletico	105	119	76
Jakajaro	104	114	92
Ano Syra	102	120	95
She's Quality	101	117	105
Little Queenie	99	116	91
Twilight Jet	99	113	91
Majestic Beauty	92	110	80
So Majestic	90	110	83
Sturlasson	90	106	97
Samrogue	80	100	78
Gabriella's Spirit	79	101	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
So Majestic	9d ago	Quick return
Little Queenie	17d ago	Fit
Jakajaro	22d ago	Fit
Ano Syra	22d ago	Fit
Twilight Jet	22d ago	Fit
Samrogue	22d ago	Fit
She's Quality	28d ago	Fit
Sturlasson	30d ago	Fit
Gabriella's Spirit	37d ago	Fit
Majestic Beauty	39d ago	Fit
Go Athletico	112d ago	Long break