Guaranteed Odds At David Lucas Bookmakers EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Chepstow

15:13

Date 2024-09-03

Distance 5f16y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Spherical Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	105	81	83	71	38d	—	—	-17	27.8	0.23/1	10/11 52%
5f debut winner who has been below par twice since; back in trip; could bounce back.
1 (6)	Pearl Of Windsor Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	135	—	441	78	85	71	26d	—	—	-3	26.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Penalised as a result of Sandown win but no surprise if there is more to come from her.
3 (1)	Over Spiced Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Paul Attwater	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Paul Attwater	132	—	4163	74	84	60	19d	—	—	+2	18.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
5f winner; didn't look straightforward latest but ran well in form terms; not written off.
4 (2)	Fast Bullet Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
First foal; dam 7f AW winner (RPR 88), half-sister to German 1m3f winner Lazzaro.
6 (3)	Havana's Dream Grey J:Raul Da Silva T:Ronald Harris	J:Raul Da Silva T:Ronald Harris	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Sister to 6f winner Moe's Legacy (RPR 67); trainer not best known for 2yo turf successes.
5 (4)	Glamorous Jewel Bay J:George Rooke T:Christopher Mason	J:George Rooke T:Christopher Mason	128	—	70	-	28	-	54d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten at lengthy odds on both starts; much better is needed.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Spherical	10/11	evn	10/11	5/6	10/11
Pearl Of Windsor	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Over Spiced	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Fast Bullet	25/1	22/1	20/1	25/1	25/1
Havana's Dream	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Glamorous Jewel	200/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spherical

27.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Pearl Of Windsor

26.1

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 9.1

15/8

3rd

Over Spiced

18.7

OR: 6 Form: 8 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Fast Bullet

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Havana's Dream

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Glamorous Jewel

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spherical	81	83	71
Pearl Of Windsor	78	85	71
Over Spiced	74	84	60
Fast Bullet	—	—	—
Havana's Dream	—	—	—
Glamorous Jewel	—	28	—

Last Run