UK Hi-Fi Show Live September 21st-22nd "Confined" Handicap (Won No More Than One Race)

Ascot

15:20

Date 2024-09-07

Distance 1m1f212y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £10,800

Winning Time 2m 12.05s (slow by 7.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Brioni (FR) James Doyle · Alan King	100/30F	Won
2nd	Whiskey Pete (IRE) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	9/2	4
3rd	Hot Fuss (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	8/1	2.25
4th	Voyage (GB) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	6/1	0.2
5th	Rhetorical (GB) Billy Loughnane · William Haggas	7/2	3.25
6th	Hosaamm (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · Owen Burrows	8/1	5
7th	Rapid Mission (GB) Charles Bishop · Anthony Charlton	80/1	13
8th	Palace Green (GB) Callum Shepherd · Richard Hughes	15/2	2
9th	Savvy Exchange (IRE) David Probert · S Woods	25/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (12)	Brioni Bay J:James Doyle T:Alan King	J:James Doyle T:Alan King	129	—	-12072	86	102	88	37d	—	—	+5	22.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second in a deep race at Goodwood and the 3lb rise isn't the end of the world
3 (5)	Rhetorical Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:William Haggas	J:Billy Loughnane T:William Haggas	131	—	126	88	101	78	59d	—	—	+6	22.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Debut winner; excuses last time and gelded since; has potential for handicaps
2 (11)	Voyage Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	133	—	1U073	90	102	97	21d	—	—	+6	17.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Departed early in the Derby; appreciated the drop in grade to be third at Newbury
8 (7)	Whiskey Pete Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	1-P754	86	104	88	57d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Having a quiet campaign and the handicapper isn't helping matters
6 (4)	Palace Green Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Richard Hughes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Richard Hughes	131	—	5-1366	88	106	82	37d	—	—	0	13.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Lots of promise in two runs before not appearing to give his running at Goodwood
1 (3)	Hosaamm Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Owen Burrows	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Owen Burrows	135	p	3-128	92	101	83	43d	—	—	+5	15.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Progressive until last time; going all-in here with cheekpieces added after being gelded
5 (8)	Hot Fuss Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	131	p	-44972	88	103	98	14d	—	—	+8	17.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
The recent rain will help as it was soft when runner-up at Goodwood last time
12 (2)	Savvy Exchange Bay J:David Probert T:S Woods	J:David Probert T:S Woods	122	—	2-1572	79	103	86	48d	—	—	+7	12.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
More needed than when second at Redcar but this longer distance could trigger something
10 (9)	Rapid Mission Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Anthony Charlton	J:Charles Bishop T:Anthony Charlton	127	h	23-516	84	102	77	36d	—	—	+7	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Irish winner; didn't run much of a race on British debut at Goodwood; now hooded
NR (6)	Lautrec Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	131	p	1-420	88	100	74	79d	—	—	—	16.5	—	—
Bit to prove now but still early days and has been gelded since Royal Ascot
NR (10)	More Thunder Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:NON-RUNNER T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	5132	87	102	-	42d	—	—	—	21.4	—	—
Didn't look straightforward when left trailing by the winner on handicap debut at Chester
NR (1)	Celtic Warrior Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	125	p	562042	82	104	89	12d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Gave it a good go when edged out at Epsom but this looks a stronger contest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Brioni	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rhetorical	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Voyage	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Whiskey Pete	5/1	6/1	5/1	5/1	6/1
Palace Green	13/2	6/1	13/2	7/1	6/1
Hosaamm	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Hot Fuss	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Savvy Exchange	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rapid Mission	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rhetorical

22.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Brioni

22.5

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

More Thunder

21.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

Whiskey Pete

19.6

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Voyage

17.9

OR: 10 Form: 4.6 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Hot Fuss

17.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Lautrec

16.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Hosaamm

15.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Celtic Warrior

14.5

OR: 8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Palace Green

13.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Savvy Exchange

12.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Rapid Mission

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hosaamm	92	101	83
Voyage	90	102	97
Rhetorical	88	101	78
Palace Green	88	106	82
Hot Fuss	88	103	98
Lautrec	88	100	74
More Thunder	87	102	—
Brioni	86	102	88
Whiskey Pete	86	104	88
Rapid Mission	84	102	77
Celtic Warrior	82	104	89
Savvy Exchange	79	103	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Celtic Warrior	12d ago	Quick return
Hot Fuss	14d ago	Fit
Voyage	21d ago	Fit
Rapid Mission	36d ago	Fit
Brioni	37d ago	Fit
Palace Green	37d ago	Fit
More Thunder	42d ago	Fit
Hosaamm	43d ago	Fit
Savvy Exchange	48d ago	Fresh
Whiskey Pete	57d ago	Fresh
Rhetorical	59d ago	Fresh
Lautrec	79d ago	Fresh